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Bundesliga
Referee: Wolfgang Stark
FC Koln
S T T U S
0–0
Full-time
Mainz
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
42%
42%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
6 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 7. · Mainz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 +33 34
2 Dortmund 13 9 2 2 +18 29
3 Wolfsburg 12 6 3 3 +2 21
4 Hertha 12 6 2 4 +2 20
5 Schalke 04 12 6 2 4 +0 20
6 M'gladbach 12 6 1 5 +5 19
7 FC Koln 12 5 3 4 -3 18
8 Hamburg 13 5 3 5 -3 18
9 Leverkusen 12 5 2 5 -2 17
10 Mainz 12 5 1 6 -1 16
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 12 4 4 4 -2 16
12 Ein Frankfurt 12 3 5 4 -1 14
13 Darmstadt 12 3 5 4 -3 14
14 Werder Bremen 12 4 1 7 -6 13
15 Hannover 12 3 2 7 -10 11
16 Stuttgart 12 3 1 8 -10 10
17 Hoffenheim 12 1 5 6 -7 8
18 Augsburg 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Mainz
Anthony Modeste 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
S. Zoller 🔁
↦ P. Hosiner
59′
61′
🟨 Yoshinori Muto
68′
🔁 J. Córdoba
↦ Y. Mutō
Y. Gerhardt 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
83′
85′
🔁 C. Clemens
↦ P. De Blasis
90′
🔁 F. Niederlechner
↦ Y. Malli
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
5 D. Maroh D
14 J. Hector M
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
6 K. Vogt D
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
15 P. Hosiner F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
11 S. Zoller
31 Y. Gerhardt
4 F. Sørensen
8 M. Jojić
16 P. Olkowski
18 T. Kessler
26 B. Finne

Mainz

1 L. Karius G
7 P. Bengtsson D
26 N. Bungert D
18 D. Brosinski D
16 S. Bell D
14 J. Baumgartlinger M
6 D. Latza M
10 Y. Malli M
17 Jairo Samperio M
32 P. De Blasis M
9 Y. Mutō F
Bench (7)
15 J. Córdoba
27 C. Clemens
31 F. Niederlechner
2 G. Jara
23 G. Curci
28 T. Nedelev
42 A. Hack

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wolfgang Stark · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
13,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.