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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Mainz

T S T T U

2–0

Full-time

Wolfsburg

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Wolfsburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

36%

55%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

45%

Both score Ø 55%

55%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

12 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

4 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mainz 12. · Wolfsburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	10	1	0	+29	31
2	Dortmund	11	8	2	1	+19	26
3	Wolfsburg	11	6	3	2	+4	21
4	Hertha	12	6	2	4	+2	20
5	Schalke 04	11	6	2	3	+1	20
6	M'gladbach	11	6	0	5	+5	18
7	Leverkusen	11	5	2	4	-1	17
8	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	4	3	4	-2	15
9	FC Koln	11	4	3	4	-4	15
10	Hamburg	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Ein Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Mainz	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Darmstadt	11	3	4	4	-3	13
14	Hannover	12	3	2	7	-10	11
15	Stuttgart	11	3	1	7	-6	10
16	Werder Bremen	11	3	1	7	-7	10
17	Hoffenheim	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Augsburg	11	1	3	7	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	6	6	0	0	+21	18
2	Wolfsburg	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+13	13
4	Schalke 04	6	3	2	1	+1	11
5	Hertha	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Leverkusen	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	M'gladbach	5	3	0	2	+2	9
8	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	-5	6
12	Hamburg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-4	5
14	Augsburg	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Hannover	6	1	0	5	-7	3
17	Werder Bremen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
18	Hoffenheim	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Dortmund	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	FC Ingolstadt 04	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Hertha	7	3	1	3	-1	10
5	M'gladbach	6	3	0	3	+3	9
6	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Hamburg	6	3	0	3	-4	9
8	Darmstadt	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Hannover	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Werder Bremen	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Mainz	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Leverkusen	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	FC Koln	5	2	0	3	-5	6
15	Hoffenheim	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-5	5
17	Stuttgart	5	1	1	3	-1	4
18	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.