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Bundesliga
Referee: Guido Winkmann
Werder Bremen
T T T S S
2–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
27%
14%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
77%
41%
Both score Ø 62%
82%
41%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 15. · Darmstadt 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 22 16 5 1 +41 53
2 RB Leipzig 23 15 4 4 +19 49
3 Dortmund 22 11 7 4 +23 40
4 Hoffenheim 22 9 11 2 +17 38
5 Hertha 22 11 4 7 +6 37
6 Ein Frankfurt 22 10 5 7 +3 35
7 FC Koln 22 8 9 5 +9 33
8 Leverkusen 22 9 3 10 +2 30
9 Freiburg 22 9 3 10 -11 30
10 M'gladbach 22 8 5 9 -4 29
11 Mainz 22 8 4 10 -6 28
12 Augsburg 23 7 7 9 -7 28
13 Schalke 04 22 7 6 9 +3 27
14 Wolfsburg 22 6 4 12 -13 22
15 Werder Bremen 22 6 4 12 -15 22
16 Hamburg 22 5 5 12 -24 20
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 22 5 3 14 -15 18
18 Darmstadt 22 3 3 16 -28 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Darmstadt
M. Eggestein 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
32′
F. Grillitsch 🔁
↦ C. Fritz
39′
Half-time 0–0
69′
🟨 Hamit Altintop
72′
🔁 L. Guwara
↦ M. Vrančić
1–0 M. Kruse
75′
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ C. Pizarro
78′
78′
🔁 T. Boyd
↦ F. Holland
Maximilian Eggestein 🟨
85′
87′
🔁 S. Schipplock
↦ S. Sam
2–0 M. Kruse
F. Bartels
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-4-2
42 F. Wiedwald G
18 N. Moisander D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
26 L. Sané D
4 R. Bauer D
8 C. Fritz M
16 Z. Junuzović M
22 F. Bartels F
29 S. Gnabry M
14 C. Pizarro F
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
35 M. Eggestein
27 F. Grillitsch
7 F. Kainz
2 S. García
9 A. Jóhannsson
13 M. Veljkovic
33 J. Drobný

Coach: A. Nouri

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 Daniel Heuer G
32 F. Holland D
17 S. Sirigu D
4 A. Sulu D
6 M. Vrančić M
34 Hamit Altıntop M
18 P. Niemeyer D
20 M. Heller M
33 S. Sam M
8 J. Gondorf M
16 A. Colak F
Bench (7)
2 L. Guwara
15 T. Boyd
39 S. Schipplock
7 A. Fedetskiy
13 M. Steinhöfer
24 I. Berezovskiy
26 P. Banggaard

Coach: T. Frings

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Guido Winkmann · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.