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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

M'gladbach

S S S T S

4–2

Full-time

Schalke 04

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

36%

32%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

50%

36%

Both score Ø 48%

45%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

39% Possession 61%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

4 Offside 5

6 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 10. · Schalke 04 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	17	5	1	+44	56
2	RB Leipzig	23	15	4	4	+19	49
3	Dortmund	23	12	7	4	+27	43
4	Hoffenheim	23	10	11	2	+20	41
5	Hertha	22	11	4	7	+6	37
6	Ein Frankfurt	22	10	5	7	+3	35
7	FC Koln	23	8	9	6	+6	33
8	Leverkusen	23	9	3	11	-2	30
9	Freiburg	22	9	3	10	-11	30
10	M'gladbach	22	8	5	9	-4	29
11	Mainz	23	8	5	10	-6	29
12	Augsburg	23	7	7	9	-7	28
13	Schalke 04	22	7	6	9	+3	27
14	Werder Bremen	23	7	4	12	-13	25
15	Wolfsburg	23	6	5	12	-13	23
16	Hamburg	22	5	5	12	-24	20
17	FC Ingolstadt 04	23	5	3	15	-18	18
18	Darmstadt	23	3	3	17	-30	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hertha	11	9	1	1	+14	28
2	RB Leipzig	11	9	1	1	+12	28
3	Bayern Munich	11	8	3	0	+30	27
4	Dortmund	11	8	3	0	+21	27
5	Hoffenheim	12	7	5	0	+16	26
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	6	3	1	+7	21
7	Freiburg	11	7	0	4	-2	21
8	Schalke 04	12	6	2	4	+8	20
9	FC Koln	11	5	5	1	+7	20
10	Mainz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
11	M'gladbach	11	5	3	3	+7	18
12	Leverkusen	12	5	2	5	+2	17
13	Werder Bremen	12	4	1	7	-3	13
14	Augsburg	12	3	4	5	-7	13
15	Darmstadt	12	3	3	6	-8	12
16	Hamburg	10	3	3	4	-8	12
17	Wolfsburg	12	3	2	7	-7	11
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	11	2	2	7	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	RB Leipzig	12	6	3	3	+7	21
3	Dortmund	12	4	4	4	+6	16
4	Hoffenheim	11	3	6	2	+4	15
5	Augsburg	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	4	2	6	-4	14
7	FC Koln	12	3	4	5	-1	13
8	Leverkusen	11	4	1	6	-4	13
9	Wolfsburg	11	3	3	5	-6	12
10	Werder Bremen	11	3	3	5	-10	12
11	M'gladbach	11	3	2	6	-11	11
12	FC Ingolstadt 04	12	3	1	8	-9	10
13	Mainz	11	3	1	7	-10	10
14	Hertha	11	2	3	6	-8	9
15	Freiburg	11	2	3	6	-9	9
16	Hamburg	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Schalke 04	10	1	4	5	-5	7
18	Darmstadt	11	0	0	11	-22	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.