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Bundesliga
Referee: Martin Petersen
RB Leipzig
S S S S T
2–1
Full-time
Hannover
U T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
60%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 55%
50%
60%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
4 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Hannover 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +17 23
2 Dortmund 10 6 2 2 +16 20
3 RB Leipzig 10 6 1 3 +4 19
4 Hannover 10 5 3 2 +5 18
5 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 3 3 +2 18
6 Schalke 04 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 M'gladbach 10 5 2 3 -2 17
8 Hoffenheim 10 4 4 2 +3 16
9 Leverkusen 10 4 3 3 +7 15
10 Augsburg 10 4 3 3 +5 15
11 Hertha 10 3 4 3 -1 13
12 Stuttgart 10 4 1 5 -2 13
13 Mainz 10 3 2 5 -5 11
14 Wolfsburg 10 1 7 2 -3 10
15 Freiburg 10 1 5 4 -14 8
16 Hamburg 10 2 1 7 -10 7
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

RB Leipzig Hannover
Half-time 0–0
E. Forsberg 🔁
↦ Bruma
53′
54′
🟨 Marvin Bakalorz
56′
Jonathas 0–1
I. Bebou
N. Keïta 🔁
↦ K. Laimer
58′
Marcel Halstenberg 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 M. Harnik
↦ F. Klaus
1–1 Y. Poulsen
T. Werner
70′
76′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ Jonathas
82′
🟨 Pirmin Schwegler
2–1 T. Werner
E. Forsberg
85′
87′
🔁 S. Maier
↦ J. Korb
90′
🟨 Salif Sané
90′
🟨 Oliver Sorg
K. Kampl 🔁
↦ T. Werner
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

RB Leipzig

4-2-2-2
32 P. Gulácsi G
23 M. Halstenberg D
16 L. Klostermann D
5 D. Upamecano D
6 I. Konaté D
31 D. Demme M
7 M. Sabitzer M
27 K. Laimer D
9 Y. Poulsen F
17 Bruma M
11 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
10 E. Forsberg
8 N. Keïta
44 K. Kampl
3 Bernardo
24 D. Kaiser
28 Y. Mvogo
33 M. Compper

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Hannover

3-4-3
1 P. Tschauner G
25 O. Sorg D
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
6 M. Bakalorz M
11 F. Klaus M
20 S. Sané D
9 Jonathas F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
14 M. Harnik
24 N. Füllkrug
10 S. Maier
3 Miiko Albornoz
8 M. Schmiedebach
19 F. Hübner
23 M. Esser

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Petersen · 29 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.