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Pro League
Referee: Jan Boterberg
St Truiden
T U S S T
4–4
Full-time
Eupen
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
17%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
4,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
54%
15%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
31%
92%
Both score Ø 62%
46%
77%
Average goals
2,4
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Corners 4
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 2. · Eupen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 13 7 2 4 -1 23
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +6 20
4 Antwerp 13 5 5 3 +3 20
5 Waregem 13 6 1 6 +2 19
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 5 4 4 -1 19
7 Beveren 13 5 3 5 +7 18
8 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
9 Charleroi 8 4 3 1 +3 15
10 Standard 9 4 3 2 +2 15
11 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
12 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
13 Oostende 13 3 2 8 -4 11
14 Kortrijk 13 2 5 6 -7 11
15 Eupen 13 2 3 8 -16 9
16 Mechelen 13 1 5 7 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Eupen
30′
🔁 N. Schouterden
↦ E. Ocansey
1–0 Y. Boli
33′
34′
🟨 Siebe Blondelle
Half-time 1–1
48′
M. Leye 1–1
N. Schouterden
2–1 S. Asamoah
55′
57′
Luis García 2–2
M. Leye
3–2 A. De Sart
59′
63′
🟨 Marc Valiente
E. Acolatse 🔁
↦ D. Dussaut
66′
4–2 A. De Sart
Y. Boli
68′
C. De Norre 🔁
↦ F. Antunes
71′
Stelios Kitsiou 🟨
74′
78′
🔁 D. Mouchamps
↦ M. Tirpan
S. Bourard 🔁
↦ J. Legear
79′
87′
Abdelkarim Hassan 4–3
90′
🟨 Akram Afif
93′
Marc Valiente 4–4
Luis García
Full-time 4–4

Line-ups

St Truiden

21 L. Pirard G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
18 F. Antunes D
20 D. Dussaut D
15 S. Kitsiou D
28 D. Goutas D
6 S. De Petter M
27 J. Legear F
5 A. De Sart M
11 Y. Boli F
12 S. Asamoah M
Bench (7)
29 E. Acolatse
24 C. De Norre
30 S. Bourard
22 Sergio Ayala
25 K. Abrahams
1 K. Steppe
10 R. Bezus

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Eupen

30 B. Niasse G
22 S. Blondelle D
44 Marc Valiente D
3 Abdelkarim Hassan M
23 M. Tirpan D
15 M. Wagué D
8 J. Amani M
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
11 Akram Afif M
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
18 N. Schouterden
13 D. Mouchamps
24 S. Gnaka
14 A. Castro-Montes
25 G. Jamabo
6 Assim Madibo
33 A. Nurudeen

Coach: Jordi Condom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jan Boterberg · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.