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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Augsburg
S S U T U
1–2
Full-time
Hannover
S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 38%
38%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
63%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
1,8
Scored
1,4
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 8. · Hannover 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 8 6 1 1 +18 19
2 Bayern Munich 8 5 2 1 +14 17
3 RB Leipzig 8 5 1 2 +5 16
4 Schalke 04 9 5 1 3 +3 16
5 Hoffenheim 8 4 3 1 +5 15
6 M'gladbach 8 4 2 2 +0 14
7 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Augsburg 8 3 3 2 +3 12
9 Hannover 8 3 3 2 +2 12
10 Stuttgart 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Mainz 9 3 1 5 -5 10
12 Leverkusen 8 2 3 3 +2 9
13 Hertha 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Wolfsburg 8 1 5 2 -3 8
15 Hamburg 8 2 1 5 -8 7
16 Freiburg 8 1 4 3 -11 7
17 Werder Bremen 8 0 4 4 -6 4
18 FC Koln 8 0 1 7 -14 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Hannover
Rani Khedira 🟨
17′
17′
🟨 Jonathas
24′
🟨 Kenan Karaman
1–0 M. Gregoritsch
D. Baier
33′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Bakalorz
↦ K. Karaman
64′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ I. Fossum
M. Heller 🔁
↦ J. Schmid
72′
Koo Ja-Cheol 🔁
↦ A. Finnbogason
72′
75′
🔁 S. Maier
↦ P. Schwegler
76′
N. Füllkrug 1–1
Jonathas
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
89′
89′
N. Füllkrug 1–2
Jonathas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
4 D. Opare D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
38 K. Danso D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
17 J. Schmid M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
11 M. Gregoritsch M
Bench (7)
7 M. Heller
19 Koo Ja-Cheol
14 J. Morávek
20 G. Kačar
23 M. Richter
26 E. Thommy
1 A. Luthe

Coach: M. Baum

Hannover

4-4-2
1 P. Tschauner G
22 M. Ostrzolek M
4 J. Korb M
31 W. Anton D
27 P. Schwegler M
20 S. Sané D
18 I. Fossum M
14 M. Harnik F
9 Jonathas F
26 K. Karaman F
13 I. Bebou M
Bench (7)
6 M. Bakalorz
24 N. Füllkrug
10 S. Maier
11 F. Klaus
19 F. Hübner
23 M. Esser
25 O. Sorg

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.