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Eredivisie

Referee: Rob Dieperink

Excelsior

S T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Roda

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Excelsior 8. · Roda 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+23	27
2	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+18	22
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+4	22
4	Zwolle	10	6	3	1	+7	21
5	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+10	17
6	Feyenoord	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Heerenveen	10	4	3	3	-4	15
8	Excelsior	10	4	2	4	-1	14
9	Den Haag	10	4	1	5	-4	13
10	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Utrecht	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Sparta Rotterdam	11	2	4	5	-9	10
14	Twente	10	3	0	7	-2	9
15	Groningen	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Willem II	11	3	0	8	-12	9
17	NAC Breda	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Roda	10	2	1	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	0	2	+1	12
4	Heracles	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
6	Twente	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
8	Sparta Rotterdam	6	2	2	2	-1	8
9	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Heerenveen	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Excelsior	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+3	11
6	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+6	10
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
9	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	6	2	0	4	-9	6
12	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Roda	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.