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Bundesliga
Referee: Deniz Aytekin
FC Koln
U T T U T
0–3
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,7
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
40%
70%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
0,4
1,7
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 22
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 18. · Hoffenheim 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 8 2 1 +19 26
2 RB Leipzig 11 7 1 3 +5 22
3 Dortmund 11 6 2 3 +14 20
4 Schalke 04 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +4 18
6 Ein Frankfurt 11 5 3 3 +2 18
7 M'gladbach 11 5 3 3 -2 18
8 Leverkusen 11 4 4 3 +7 16
9 Augsburg 11 4 4 3 +5 16
10 Hoffenheim 10 4 4 2 +3 16
11 Hertha 10 3 4 3 -1 13
12 Stuttgart 11 4 1 6 -4 13
13 Mainz 11 3 3 5 -5 12
14 Wolfsburg 10 1 7 2 -3 10
15 Hamburg 11 3 1 7 -8 10
16 Freiburg 11 1 5 5 -15 8
17 Werder Bremen 11 0 5 6 -10 5
18 FC Koln 10 0 2 8 -15 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Hoffenheim
9′
D. Geiger 0–1
N. Amiri
22′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
Leonardo Bittencourt 🟨
28′
Yuya Osako 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
Paweł Olkowski 🟨
55′
56′
S. Wagner 0–2
M. Jojić 🔁
↦ S. Özcan
59′
Miloš Jojić 🟨
64′
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ S. Zoller
67′
67′
🔁 A. Kramarić
↦ N. Amiri
76′
🟨 Sandro Wagner
77′
🔁 E. Polanski
↦ D. Geiger
F. Sørensen 🔁
↦ M. Lehmann
79′
80′
S. Wagner 0–3
A. Kramarić
82′
🔁 H. Nordtveit
↦ S. Wagner
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-4-2
1 T. Horn G
34 K. Raush D
5 D. Maroh D
16 P. Olkowski D
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
21 L. Bittencourt M
20 S. Özcan M
11 S. Zoller F
13 Y. Ōsako F
19 S. Guirassy F
Bench (7)
8 M. Jojić
29 T. Handwerker
4 F. Sørensen
17 C. Clemens
18 T. Kessler
23 J. Horn
24 L. Klünter

Coach: P. Stöger

Hoffenheim

4-3-3
1 O. Baumann G
25 K. Akpoguma D
38 S. Posch D
22 K. Vogt D
16 N. Schulz M
11 F. Grillitsch M
10 K. Demirbay M
18 N. Amiri M
32 D. Geiger M
14 S. Wagner F
19 M. Uth F
Bench (7)
27 A. Kramarić
8 E. Polanski
6 H. Nordtveit
7 L. Rupp
17 S. Zuber
36 G. Kobel
37 R. Hack

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Deniz Aytekin · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.