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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Kampka
Augsburg
U T U S U
1–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 41%
31%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
53%
41%
Both score Ø 53%
53%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 11. · Schalke 04 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 3 3 +65 81
2 Schalke 04 32 16 9 7 +14 57
3 Dortmund 32 15 10 7 +20 55
4 Hoffenheim 32 14 10 8 +18 52
5 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +13 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 8 11 -3 47
7 Ein Frankfurt 32 13 7 12 -2 46
8 Stuttgart 32 13 6 13 -5 45
9 M'gladbach 32 12 8 12 -6 44
10 Hertha 32 10 13 9 +3 43
11 Augsburg 32 10 11 11 +0 41
12 Werder Bremen 32 9 11 12 -4 38
13 Hannover 32 9 9 14 -11 36
14 Mainz 32 8 9 15 -14 33
15 Freiburg 32 7 12 13 -24 33
16 Wolfsburg 32 5 15 12 -12 30
17 Hamburg 32 7 7 18 -22 28
18 FC Koln 32 5 7 20 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Schalke 04
23′
T. Kehrer 0–1
G. Burgstaller
27′
🟨 Guido Burgstaller
1–1 P. Max
D. Baier
27′
34′
T. Kehrer 1–2
D. Caligiuri
45′
🟨 Alessandro Schöpf
Half-time 1–2
59′
🟨 Thilo Kehrer
66′
🔁 A. Harit
↦ F. Di Santo
J. Morávek 🔁
↦ M. Richter
73′
Philipp Max 🟨
77′
S. Córdova 🔁
↦ D. Baier
79′
84′
🔁 B. Oczipka
↦ Y. Konoplyanka
Alfreð Finnbogason 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 C. Teuchert
↦ G. Burgstaller
K. Danso 🔁
↦ R. Khedira
90′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
36 M. Hinteregger D
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
30 Caiuby M
17 J. Schmid M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
8 R. Khedira M
27 A. Finnbogason F
23 M. Richter M
Bench (7)
14 J. Morávek
21 S. Córdova
38 K. Danso
1 A. Luthe
9 S. Parker
16 C. Janker
20 G. Kačar

Coach: M. Baum

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
20 T. Kehrer D
18 D. Caligiuri M
11 Y. Konoplyanka F
17 B. Stambouli D
8 L. Goretzka M
28 A. Schöpf M
2 W. McKennie M
19 G. Burgstaller F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
25 A. Harit
24 B. Oczipka
23 C. Teuchert
3 Pablo Ínsua
14 A. Baba
22 M. Pjaca
35 A. Nübel

Coach: D. Tedesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Robert Kampka · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.