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Bundesliga

Referee: Manuel Gräfe

Schalke 04

S S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Dortmund

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 50%

52%

48%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

41%

62%

Both score Ø 56%

52%

59%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,6

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

41% Possession 59%

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Schalke 04 2. · Dortmund 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	24	3	3	+59	75
2	Schalke 04	29	15	7	7	+12	52
3	Dortmund	29	14	9	6	+18	51
4	Leverkusen	30	14	9	7	+18	51
5	Hoffenheim	30	12	10	8	+13	46
6	Ein Frankfurt	30	13	7	10	+4	46
7	RB Leipzig	29	13	7	9	+3	46
8	M'gladbach	30	11	7	12	-9	40
9	Hertha	30	9	12	9	+0	39
10	Stuttgart	30	11	6	13	-8	39
11	Augsburg	30	9	10	11	-2	37
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	30	9	9	12	-6	36
14	Wolfsburg	30	5	15	10	-7	30
15	Freiburg	29	6	12	11	-22	30
16	Mainz	29	6	9	14	-17	27
17	Hamburg	30	5	7	18	-25	22
18	FC Koln	30	5	6	19	-29	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Hoffenheim	15	9	4	2	+18	31
3	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+16	28
4	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
5	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Stuttgart	15	8	4	3	+5	28
7	Leverkusen	15	7	5	3	+10	26
8	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	+7	25
9	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+3	25
10	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
11	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Hertha	15	5	6	4	+0	21
13	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
14	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	8	5	-3	14
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+8	25
3	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+3	24
4	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	3	6	-3	21
6	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	Augsburg	15	4	6	5	-1	18
8	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
9	Wolfsburg	15	3	7	5	-4	16
10	Hoffenheim	15	3	6	6	-5	15
11	M'gladbach	15	4	3	8	-12	15
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Hannover	15	2	6	7	-10	12
14	Stuttgart	15	3	2	10	-13	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
17	FC Koln	15	2	2	11	-21	8
18	Hamburg	15	1	3	11	-21	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.