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Bundesliga
Referee: Robert Hartmann
Werder Bremen
S T U T U
0–0
Full-time
Leverkusen
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 36%
28%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
3 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 12. · Leverkusen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 3 3 +65 81
2 Schalke 04 32 16 9 7 +14 57
3 Dortmund 32 15 10 7 +20 55
4 Hoffenheim 32 14 10 8 +18 52
5 Leverkusen 32 14 9 9 +13 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 8 11 -3 47
7 Ein Frankfurt 32 13 7 12 -2 46
8 Stuttgart 32 13 6 13 -5 45
9 M'gladbach 32 12 8 12 -6 44
10 Hertha 32 10 13 9 +3 43
11 Augsburg 32 10 11 11 +0 41
12 Werder Bremen 32 9 11 12 -4 38
13 Hannover 32 9 9 14 -11 36
14 Mainz 32 8 9 15 -14 33
15 Freiburg 32 7 12 13 -24 33
16 Wolfsburg 32 5 15 12 -12 30
17 Hamburg 32 7 7 18 -22 28
18 FC Koln 32 5 7 20 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Leverkusen
25′
🟨 Kevin Volland
Sebastian Langkamp 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
J. Gondorf 🔁
↦ F. Kainz
46′
Jérôme Gondorf 🟨
53′
65′
🟨 Panagiotis Retsos
70′
🔁 B. Henrichs
↦ Wendell
72′
🔁 L. Alario
↦ D. Kohr
Theodor Gebre Selassie 🟨
75′
M. Rashica 🔁
↦ P. Bargfrede
78′
81′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ L. Bailey
89′
🟨 Julian Baumgartlinger
90′
🟨 Benjamin Henrichs
J. Eggestein 🔁
↦ Z. Junuzović
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

4-3-3
1 J. Pavlenka G
15 S. Langkamp D
23 T. Gebre Selassie D
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
16 Z. Junuzović M
44 P. Bargfrede M
6 T. Delaney M
7 F. Kainz F
35 M. Eggestein M
10 M. Kruse F
Bench (7)
8 J. Gondorf
11 M. Rashica
24 J. Eggestein
3 L. Caldirola
4 R. Bauer
29 I. Belfodil
33 J. Drobný

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
18 Wendell D
16 T. Jedvaj D
3 P. Retsos D
20 C. Aránguiz M
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
21 D. Kohr M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
10 J. Brandt M
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (7)
39 B. Henrichs
13 L. Alario
38 K. Bellarabi
11 S. Kießling
22 V. Yurchenko
28 R. Özcan
37 M. Frey

Coach: H. Herrlich

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Robert Hartmann · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.