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Bundesliga
Referee: Patrick Ittrich
Stuttgart
S U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 53%
31%
75%
Points per game
1,1
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
38%
63%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 7
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 14. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 16 12 2 2 +25 38
2 Schalke 04 16 8 5 3 +7 29
3 RB Leipzig 16 8 4 4 +3 28
4 M'gladbach 17 8 4 5 -1 28
5 Leverkusen 16 7 6 3 +11 27
6 Hoffenheim 16 7 5 4 +6 26
7 Dortmund 16 7 4 5 +14 25
8 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 4 5 +2 25
9 Augsburg 16 6 5 5 +4 23
10 Hannover 16 6 4 6 -2 22
11 Hertha 16 5 6 5 +0 21
12 Wolfsburg 16 3 10 3 +1 19
13 Freiburg 16 4 6 6 -14 18
14 Stuttgart 16 5 2 9 -7 17
15 Mainz 16 4 4 8 -9 16
16 Hamburg 17 4 3 10 -10 15
17 Werder Bremen 16 3 5 8 -7 14
18 FC Koln 16 0 3 13 -23 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Bayern Munich
31′
🟨 Jérôme Boateng
Half-time 0–0
M. Kamiński 🔁
↦ S. Terodde
47′
Dennis Aogo 🟨
53′
65′
🔁 T. Müller
↦ C. Tolisso
68′
🔁 N. Süle
↦ M. Hummels
Andreas Beck 🟨
70′
79′
T. Müller 0–1
K. Coman
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ A. Beck
81′
T. Asano 🔁
↦ D. Aogo
81′
84′
🔁 D. Alaba
↦ K. Coman
90′
🟨 Rafinha
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
3 D. Aogo M
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
31 B. Özcan F
6 S. Ascacíbar M
9 S. Terodde F
19 C. Akolo F
Bench (7)
35 M. Kamiński
7 J. Brekalo
11 T. Asano
2 E. Insúa
8 A. Grgic
13 J. Grahl
39 N. Sessa

Coach: H. Wolf

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
26 S. Ulreich G
13 Rafinha D
8 Javi Martínez M
17 J. Boateng D
5 M. Hummels D
23 A. Vidal M
11 J. Rodríguez M
24 C. Tolisso M
32 J. Kimmich D
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
25 T. Müller
4 N. Süle
27 D. Alaba
7 F. Ribéry
14 Juan Bernat
19 S. Rudy
22 T. Starke

Coach: J. Heynckes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.