Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Stuttgart
Bayern Munich
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | +25 | 38 |
| 2 |
Schalke 04
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | +7 | 29 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 28 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 28 |
| 5 |
Leverkusen
|
16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | +11 | 27 |
| 6 |
Hoffenheim
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 26 |
| 7 |
Dortmund
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +14 | 25 |
| 8 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 25 |
| 9 |
Augsburg
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 23 |
| 10 |
Hannover
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 |
Hertha
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 21 |
| 12 |
Wolfsburg
|
16 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 13 |
Freiburg
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -14 | 18 |
| 14 |
Stuttgart
|
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 |
Mainz
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -9 | 16 |
| 16 |
Hamburg
|
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -10 | 15 |
| 17 |
Werder Bremen
|
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -7 | 14 |
| 18 |
FC Koln
|
16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | -23 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
R. Zieler
G
B. Pavard
D
B. Özcan
F
Coach: H. Wolf
S. Ulreich
G
C. Tolisso
M
J. Kimmich
D
Coach: J. Heynckes
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Hoffenheim
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Leverkusen
Werder Bremen
Stuttgart
Hannover
Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Dortmund
Patrick Ittrich · 43 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.