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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Eibar

S U T S U

2–3

Full-time

Osasuna

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-1,3

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 71%

71%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

64% Possession 36%

13 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 0

2 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 8. · Osasuna 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+14	18
3	Sevilla	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+16	16
5	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+10	16
6	Ath Bilbao	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Alaves	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-4	10
12	Celta	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Valencia	8	3	0	5	-4	9
15	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Betis	8	2	2	4	-9	8
17	Espanol	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-11	7
19	Osasuna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Granada	8	0	2	6	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
8	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	-4	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Sevilla	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Celta	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.