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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera
Real Madrid
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Eibar
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Eibar 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 7 4 3 0 +12 15
2 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Sevilla 7 4 2 1 +3 14
4 Barcelona 6 4 1 1 +13 13
5 Villarreal 6 3 3 0 +5 12
6 Ath Bilbao 6 4 0 2 +3 12
7 Las Palmas 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Sociedad 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Leganes 7 3 1 3 -3 10
11 Alaves 7 2 3 2 +1 9
12 La Coruna 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Betis 7 2 2 3 -4 8
14 Celta 6 2 1 3 -3 7
15 Sp Gijon 7 2 1 4 -10 7
16 Valencia 7 2 0 5 -5 6
17 Malaga 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Espanol 6 1 2 3 -5 5
19 Osasuna 7 0 3 4 -8 3
20 Granada 7 0 2 5 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Real Madrid Eibar
6′
Fran Rico 0–1
Ander Capa
1–1 G. Bale
Cristiano Ronaldo
17′
29′
🟨 Gonzalo Escalante
Gareth Bale 🟨
44′
Daniel Carvajal 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
Nacho 🔁
↦ R. Varane
46′
Álvaro Morata 🔁
↦ K. Benzema
46′
48′
🟨 Dani García
Álvaro Morata 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
71′
🟨 Rubén Peña
Marco Asensio 🔁
↦ Isco
72′
Toni Kroos 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 Kike
↦ Sergi Enrich
84′
🟨 Fran Rico
87′
🔁 Bebé
↦ Rubén Peña
92′
🔁 Adrián
↦ Pedro León
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Real Madrid

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
3 Pepe D
23 Danilo D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
8 T. Kroos M
22 Isco M
16 M. Kovačić M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
9 K. Benzema F
11 G. Bale F
Bench (6)
6 Nacho
21 Álvaro Morata
20 Marco Asensio
13 Kiko Casilla
17 Lucas Vázquez
18 M. Díaz

Coach: Z. Zidane

Eibar

4-1-4-1
13 Asier Riesgo G
15 M. Dos Santos D
20 F. Lejeune D
19 Luna D
7 Ander Capa D
21 Pedro León M
16 Fran Rico M
14 Dani García M
5 G. Escalante M
11 Rubén Peña D
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
17 Kike
25 Bebé
24 Adrián
1 Yoel
4 Ramis
8 T. Inui
23 Juncà

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martinez Munuera · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.