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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Del Cerro Grande

Malaga

U T T S T

2–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 5

19 Free kicks against 11

9 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Malaga 17. · Ath Bilbao 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+12	15
2	Real Madrid	7	4	3	0	+9	15
3	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+13	13
5	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+3	12
7	Las Palmas	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Leganes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Alaves	7	2	3	2	+1	9
12	La Coruna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Betis	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-10	7
16	Valencia	7	2	0	5	-5	6
17	Malaga	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-5	5
19	Osasuna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
11	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
13	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
14	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Celta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	La Coruna	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.