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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Sevilla

U S U S T

2–1

Full-time

Alaves

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%

20 Shots 7

12 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 10

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 6. · Alaves 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+13	13
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+10	12
4	Villarreal	6	3	3	0	+5	12
5	Ath Bilbao	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Sevilla	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Leganes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Alaves	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Celta	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-9	7
15	Valencia	6	2	0	4	-3	6
16	La Coruna	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	Malaga	6	1	2	3	-3	5
18	Espanol	6	1	2	3	-5	5
19	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
3	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
10	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
11	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
13	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Celta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Espanol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	La Coruna	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.