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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Villarreal

S S U S U

5–0

Full-time

Celta

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

1,9

2,9

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

44% Possession 56%

11 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

19 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Celta 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+18	18
2	Real Madrid	8	5	3	0	+14	18
3	Sevilla	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	+16	16
5	Ath Bilbao	8	5	0	3	+3	15
6	Villarreal	7	3	4	0	+5	13
7	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
8	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Alaves	8	2	4	2	+1	10
10	Sociedad	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Celta	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-4	10
13	Malaga	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Valencia	8	3	0	5	-4	9
15	La Coruna	8	2	2	4	-5	8
16	Betis	8	2	2	4	-9	8
17	Espanol	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Sp Gijon	8	2	1	5	-11	7
19	Osasuna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Granada	8	0	2	6	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	Ath Bilbao	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+7	7
7	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Alaves	4	1	3	0	+2	6
12	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
14	Sp Gijon	4	2	0	2	-4	6
15	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
16	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+10	10
2	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Valencia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Sevilla	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Granada	4	0	1	3	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.