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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Real Madrid

S S S S U

3–2

Full-time

La Coruna

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid La Coruna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

0,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 46%

71%

21%

Points per game

2,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

57%

Both score Ø 68%

71%

64%

Average goals

3,5

3,0

Scored

2,6

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

17 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 1. · La Coruna 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+25	34
2	Barcelona	15	9	4	2	+22	31
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Sociedad	15	8	2	5	+5	26
5	Ath Madrid	14	7	4	3	+17	25
6	Villarreal	14	6	5	3	+9	23
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Las Palmas	15	5	6	4	+3	21
9	Malaga	15	5	6	4	+2	21
10	Eibar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
11	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
12	Espanol	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Alaves	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Betis	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	Leganes	15	4	3	8	-14	15
16	La Coruna	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Valencia	15	3	3	9	-8	12
18	Sp Gijon	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Granada	15	1	6	8	-17	9
20	Osasuna	15	1	4	10	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	17
4	Malaga	8	5	2	1	+6	17
5	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+9	16
6	Las Palmas	8	4	4	0	+8	16
7	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
8	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
9	Celta	7	5	0	2	+3	15
10	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+11	14
11	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
12	La Coruna	7	3	1	3	+3	10
13	Sp Gijon	7	3	1	3	-4	10
14	Betis	7	2	3	2	-3	9
15	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
16	Alaves	7	1	4	2	-2	7
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Valencia	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Osasuna	8	0	2	6	-11	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	1	1	+14	19
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
3	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Alaves	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Leganes	8	3	1	4	-8	10
7	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Sociedad	7	3	0	4	-2	9
9	Villarreal	7	1	4	2	+0	7
10	Valencia	8	2	1	5	-3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
14	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Las Palmas	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-8	5
17	Malaga	7	0	4	3	-4	4
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Granada	8	0	3	5	-15	3
20	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.