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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Zwolle
S U T T T
0–0
Full-time
Willem II
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,8
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
60%
33%
Both score Ø 44%
47%
40%
Average goals
2,9
1,9
Scored
0,9
0,7
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 16. · Willem II 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 +29 36
2 Ajax 15 11 3 1 +23 36
3 PSV Eindhoven 16 9 6 1 +17 33
4 Heerenveen 15 8 4 3 +13 28
5 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 7 1 +10 22
6 Twente 15 5 6 4 +3 21
7 Vitesse 15 5 5 5 +3 20
8 Utrecht 13 5 5 3 +3 20
9 Heracles 15 4 6 5 -5 18
10 Nijmegen 16 4 6 6 -10 18
11 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 -5 17
12 Groningen 15 4 4 7 -4 16
13 Willem II 15 3 6 6 -8 15
14 Excelsior 16 4 3 9 -9 15
15 Den Haag 16 4 2 10 -14 14
16 Zwolle 15 3 4 8 -18 13
17 Roda 16 1 9 6 -13 12
18 Go Ahead Eagles 16 3 2 11 -15 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Willem II
24′
🟨 Freek Heerkens
Half-time 0–0
Y. Mokhtar 🔁
↦ N. Brock-Madsen
46′
55′
🔁 B. Ogbeche
↦ Fran Sol
67′
🔁 D. Koppers
↦ T. Haye
A. Achahbar 🔁
↦ M. Saymak
75′
87′
🔁 Asumah
↦ J. Croux
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-2-3-1
1 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
4 D. Marcellis D
3 T. van de Pavert D
22 B. Schenkeveld D
21 D. Warmerdam D
14 W. Brama M
6 M. Saymak M
44 N. Brock-Madsen F
30 R. Thomas M
11 Q. Menig M
Bench (9)
7 Y. Mokhtar
9 A. Achahbar
40 M. Hauptmeijer
5 C. Verdonk
8 W. Marinus
16 K. Begois
17 J. Kvída
20 K. Ehizibue
98 H. Mastour

Coach: R. Jans

Willem II

4-3-3
1 K. Lamprou G
26 K. Tshimanga D
29 D. Lachman D
15 D. Wuytens D
3 F. Heerkens D
46 P. van Anholt D
6 F. Ojo M
20 A. Kali M
8 T. Haye M
14 J. Croux F
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (11)
22 B. Ogbeche
5 D. Koppers
28 Asumah
7 J. Schuurman
10 E. Falkenburg
11 Bruno Andrade
23 N. Bertrams
25 E. Lieftink
30 A. Calcan
31 M. Branderhorst
49 N. Wouters

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.