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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
La Coruna
S T T U U
2–3
Full-time
Sevilla
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 37%
18%
55%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
55%
73%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

26% Possession 74%
4 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 9
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 14
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 16. · Sevilla 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 8 3 0 +21 27
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 +19 25
3 Villarreal 11 6 4 1 +12 22
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 3 2 +17 21
5 Sevilla 11 6 3 2 +4 21
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Celta 11 5 2 4 -3 17
9 Las Palmas 12 4 4 4 +1 16
10 Malaga 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Eibar 11 4 3 4 +1 15
12 Betis 12 4 2 6 -9 14
13 Alaves 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Espanol 11 2 6 3 -4 12
15 Valencia 11 3 1 7 -6 10
16 La Coruna 11 2 4 5 -8 10
17 Leganes 11 3 1 7 -13 10
18 Sp Gijon 11 2 3 6 -12 9
19 Osasuna 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Granada 11 0 4 7 -16 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Sevilla
1–0 R. Babel
Juanfran
1′
2–0 F. Andone
R. Babel
42′
44′
S. N'Zonzi 2–1
Sergio Escudero
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 Vitolo
↦ Daniel Carriço
Przemysław Tytoń 🟨
57′
C. Borges 🔁
↦ E. Çolak
62′
70′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ Ganso
76′
🟨 Nicolás Pareja
76′
🔁 W. Ben Yedder
↦ Pablo Sarabia
Alejandro Arribas 🔁
↦ Juanfran
79′
83′
🟨 Luciano Vietto
Alejandro Arribas 🟨
84′
87′
Vitolo 2–2
M. Moreno 🔁
↦ F. Andone
88′
Ryan Babel 🟨
90′
92′
G. Mercado 2–3
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

La Coruna

4-3-1-2
13 P. Tytoń
12 Sidnei D
16 Luisinho D
6 Albentosa D
21 Bruno Gama M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
20 Guilherme M
8 E. Çolak M
2 Juanfran D
23 R. Babel M
10 F. Andone F
Bench (7)
22 C. Borges
14 Alejandro Arribas
9 M. Moreno
1 G. Lux
3 Fernando Navarro
4 Álex Bergantiños
19 F. Fajr

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Sevilla

3-4-2-1
1 Sergio Rico G
21 N. Pareja
24 G. Mercado D
3 Mariano D
18 Sergio Escudero D
6 Daniel Carriço D
15 S. N'Zonzi M
19 Ganso M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
4 M. Kranevitter M
9 L. Vietto F
Bench (7)
20 Vitolo
22 F. Vázquez
12 W. Ben Yedder
8 Iborra
11 J. Correa
23 A. Rami
25 S. Sirigu

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.