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La Liga

Referee: Alberto Undiano

Villarreal

S S T S T

0–2

Full-time

Alaves

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 10

12 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 4. · Alaves 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	10	3	0	+25	33
2	Sevilla	13	8	3	2	+6	27
3	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+19	26
4	Villarreal	12	6	4	2	+11	22
5	Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Ath Madrid	12	6	3	3	+14	21
7	Eibar	13	6	3	4	+4	21
8	Ath Bilbao	12	6	2	4	+3	20
9	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+2	19
10	Espanol	13	4	6	3	+0	18
11	Celta	12	5	2	5	-4	17
12	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
13	Betis	13	4	2	7	-11	14
14	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Leganes	13	4	1	8	-14	13
16	Valencia	13	3	2	8	-7	11
17	La Coruna	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Sp Gijon	13	2	3	8	-15	9
19	Osasuna	12	1	4	7	-11	7
20	Granada	12	0	5	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
4	Malaga	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+11	13
7	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
8	Ath Bilbao	6	4	1	1	+4	13
9	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
10	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
11	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
17	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Leganes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
19	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
20	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-8	9
7	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
10	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Villarreal	6	1	3	2	+0	6
12	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Granada	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.