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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Celta

T T T T T

1–4

Full-time

Real Madrid

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,8

5,0

Scored

0,8

3,5

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+2,0

This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 56%

36%

75%

Points per game

1,2

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 61%

47%

75%

Average goals

3,1

3,9

Scored

1,4

2,8

Conceded

1,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 9

5 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 13. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	37	27	6	4	+77	87
2	Real Madrid	36	27	6	3	+60	87
3	Ath Madrid	37	22	9	6	+41	75
4	Sevilla	37	20	9	8	+15	69
5	Villarreal	37	18	10	9	+21	64
6	Ath Bilbao	37	19	6	12	+12	63
7	Sociedad	37	19	6	12	+6	63
8	Eibar	37	15	9	13	+7	54
9	Alaves	37	14	12	11	-2	54
10	Espanol	37	14	11	12	-2	53
11	Malaga	37	12	10	15	-4	46
12	Valencia	37	13	7	17	-7	46
13	Celta	36	13	5	18	-13	44
14	Las Palmas	37	10	9	18	-18	39
15	Betis	37	10	8	19	-23	38
16	Leganes	37	8	10	19	-19	34
17	La Coruna	37	7	12	18	-21	33
18	Sp Gijon	37	7	9	21	-30	30
19	Osasuna	37	4	10	23	-49	22
20	Granada	37	4	8	25	-51	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	14	4	1	+28	46
2	Barcelona	18	14	3	1	+45	45
3	Ath Bilbao	19	13	4	2	+18	43
4	Sevilla	18	13	4	1	+18	43
5	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+24	41
6	Villarreal	19	11	4	4	+17	37
7	Sociedad	19	10	5	4	+6	35
8	Las Palmas	19	9	6	4	+8	33
9	Eibar	19	10	3	6	+8	33
10	Malaga	18	10	2	6	+9	32
11	Espanol	19	8	5	6	+4	29
12	Alaves	19	7	8	4	-2	29
13	Valencia	18	8	4	6	+2	28
14	Celta	17	9	1	7	+1	28
15	Betis	19	6	7	6	-2	25
16	La Coruna	18	6	5	7	+1	23
17	Leganes	18	5	5	8	-1	20
18	Sp Gijon	18	5	3	10	-12	18
19	Granada	18	4	4	10	-14	16
20	Osasuna	19	2	7	10	-16	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	19	13	3	3	+32	42
2	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+32	41
3	Ath Madrid	19	9	7	3	+17	34
4	Sociedad	18	9	1	8	+0	28
5	Villarreal	18	7	6	5	+4	27
6	Sevilla	19	7	5	7	-3	26
7	Alaves	18	7	4	7	+0	25
8	Espanol	18	6	6	6	-6	24
9	Eibar	18	5	6	7	-1	21
10	Ath Bilbao	18	6	2	10	-6	20
11	Valencia	19	5	3	11	-9	18
12	Celta	19	4	4	11	-14	16
13	Malaga	19	2	8	9	-13	14
14	Leganes	19	3	5	11	-18	14
15	Betis	18	4	1	13	-21	13
16	Sp Gijon	19	2	6	11	-18	12
17	La Coruna	19	1	7	11	-22	10
18	Osasuna	18	2	3	13	-33	9
19	Las Palmas	18	1	3	14	-26	6
20	Granada	19	0	4	15	-37	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.