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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Real Madrid

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Celta

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

3,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

24 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 3. · Celta 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Betis	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	La Coruna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Granada	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Villarreal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Osasuna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Betis	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.