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La Liga
Referee: Mario Melero Lopez
Las Palmas
T U U U T
3–3
Full-time
Celta
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
33%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
78%
67%
Both score Ø 61%
78%
44%
Average goals
3,6
3,3
Scored
1,9
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

75% Possession 25%
17 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Las Palmas 10. · Celta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 10 7 3 0 +18 24
2 Barcelona 10 7 1 2 +18 22
3 Ath Madrid 10 6 3 1 +19 21
4 Sevilla 10 6 3 1 +5 21
5 Villarreal 10 5 4 1 +10 19
6 Sociedad 10 5 1 4 +4 16
7 Ath Bilbao 10 5 1 4 +2 16
8 Eibar 10 4 3 3 +2 15
9 Celta 9 4 1 4 -4 13
10 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 +2 12
11 Malaga 10 3 3 4 +0 12
12 Espanol 10 2 5 3 -4 11
13 Betis 10 3 2 5 -9 11
14 Alaves 10 2 4 4 -5 10
15 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -10 10
16 Valencia 9 3 0 6 -5 9
17 Sp Gijon 10 2 3 5 -11 9
18 La Coruna 9 2 2 5 -8 8
19 Osasuna 10 1 4 5 -8 7
20 Granada 10 0 3 7 -16 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Celta
6′
D. Wass 0–1
11′
🟨 Hugo Mallo
14′
Iago Aspas 0–2
P. Sisto
21′
Iago Aspas 0–3
F. Orellana
27′
🟨 Nemanja Radoja
34′
🔁 M. Díaz
↦ F. Orellana
40′
🟨 Sergi Gómez
43′
🟨 Iago Aspas
Half-time 0–3
Kevin-Prince Boateng 🟨
50′
1–3 Bigas
Jonathan Viera
52′
60′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
M. Livaja 🔁
↦ Vicente Gómez
62′
65′
🟨 Sergi Gómez
65′
🟥 Sergi Gómez
2–3 Jonathan Viera
66′
3–3 K. Boateng
Míchel
68′
69′
🔁 Jonny Castro
↦ P. Sisto
74′
🟨 Daniel Wass
Momo 🔁
↦ Tana
75′
76′
🔁 T. Bongonda
↦ D. Wass
M. García 🔁
↦ S. Araújo
85′
Momo 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Marcelo Díaz
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
1 Raúl Lizoáin G
5 David García D
12 Míchel D
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Bigas D
7 K. Boateng M
21 Jonathan Viera M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
9 M. Livaja
11 Momo
19 M. García
2 David Simón
3 M. Lemos
6 Montoro
13 Javi Varas

Coach: Quique Setién

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
22 G. Cabral D
2 Hugo Mallo D
20 Sergi Gómez D
14 F. Orellana M
18 D. Wass M
8 P. Hernández M
6 N. Radoja M
11 P. Sisto M
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
5 M. Díaz
19 Jonny Castro
7 T. Bongonda
3 Fontàs
9 J. Guidetti
13 Rubén Blanco
25 G. Rossi

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Mario Melero Lopez · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.