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Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Heerenveen

S S S T T

1–2

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 53%

50%

56%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

75%

56%

Both score Ø 54%

63%

44%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

1,5

1,6

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

48% Possession 52%

8 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · AZ Alkmaar 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	9	0	1	+23	27
2	Ajax	10	7	1	2	+18	22
3	Zwolle	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Vitesse	9	5	2	2	+10	17
5	Feyenoord	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	1	3	+2	16
7	Excelsior	10	4	2	4	-1	14
8	Heerenveen	8	4	2	2	-3	14
9	Den Haag	10	4	1	5	-4	13
10	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-2	12
11	VVV Venlo	10	3	3	4	-4	12
12	Utrecht	8	3	1	4	-7	10
13	Twente	10	3	0	7	-2	9
14	Groningen	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	3	5	-9	9
16	Willem II	10	3	0	7	-11	9
17	NAC Breda	10	2	2	6	-8	8
18	Roda	10	2	1	7	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Zwolle	5	5	0	0	+8	15
3	Heracles	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ajax	4	3	0	1	+8	9
5	Twente	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Groningen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	AZ Alkmaar	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Feyenoord	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Sparta Rotterdam	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Utrecht	4	2	1	1	-2	7
11	Vitesse	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Roda	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	VVV Venlo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Den Haag	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-6	4
17	Willem II	5	1	0	4	-3	3
18	Excelsior	5	0	1	4	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Vitesse	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Excelsior	5	4	1	0	+6	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	0	1	+12	12
5	Feyenoord	5	3	1	1	+6	10
6	Heerenveen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	VVV Venlo	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Zwolle	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Willem II	5	2	0	3	-8	6
12	NAC Breda	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Roda	6	1	0	5	-9	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	5	0	2	3	-8	2
16	Heracles	4	0	1	3	-5	1
17	Groningen	4	0	0	4	-5	0
18	Twente	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.