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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Malaga

T U T T T

2–1

Full-time

Celta

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,8

Scored

0,5

2,3

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

22%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

0,4

2,0

Conceded

2,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

0 Offside 4

20 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 20. · Celta 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Valencia	10	7	3	0	+16	24
3	Real Madrid	10	6	2	2	+10	20
4	Ath Madrid	10	5	5	0	+9	20
5	Sevilla	10	6	1	3	+2	19
6	Villarreal	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Leganes	10	5	2	3	+4	17
8	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
9	Sociedad	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Getafe	10	3	3	4	+2	12
11	Levante	10	2	6	2	-2	12
12	Girona	10	3	3	4	-4	12
13	Celta	9	3	2	4	+4	11
14	Ath Bilbao	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Espanol	9	2	4	3	-4	10
16	La Coruna	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Eibar	10	2	2	6	-17	8
18	Las Palmas	9	2	0	7	-15	6
19	Alaves	10	1	0	9	-12	3
20	Malaga	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	15
2	Valencia	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Sevilla	5	4	1	0	+7	13
4	Betis	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+9	10
6	Levante	6	2	3	1	+2	9
7	Real Madrid	5	2	2	1	+4	8
8	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Leganes	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Getafe	5	2	0	3	+2	6
14	La Coruna	5	2	0	3	-4	6
15	Sociedad	5	1	2	2	+0	5
16	Celta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-4	5
18	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-8	3
19	Malaga	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Alaves	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Valencia	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Leganes	5	3	0	2	+3	9
6	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Celta	4	2	0	2	+5	6
9	Getafe	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Sevilla	5	2	0	3	-5	6
11	Girona	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ath Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Alaves	5	1	0	4	-3	3
15	Levante	4	0	3	1	-4	3
16	Las Palmas	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-7	3
18	Eibar	5	1	0	4	-13	3
19	La Coruna	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Malaga	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.