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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Udinese
T S T T S
2–1
Full-time
Atalanta
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
70%
70%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 13. · Atalanta 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 11 9 1 1 +23 28
2 Napoli 10 9 1 0 +22 28
3 Lazio 11 9 1 1 +19 28
4 Inter 10 8 2 0 +13 26
5 Roma 10 8 0 2 +12 24
6 Sampdoria 9 5 2 2 +6 17
7 Fiorentina 10 5 1 4 +7 16
8 Milan 11 5 1 5 +0 16
9 Atalanta 10 4 3 3 +4 15
10 Chievo 10 4 3 3 -2 15
11 Bologna 11 4 2 5 -3 14
12 Torino 10 3 4 3 -3 13
13 Udinese 10 3 0 7 -5 9
14 Cagliari 10 3 0 7 -10 9
15 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 -11 8
16 Genoa 10 1 3 6 -6 6
17 Crotone 10 1 3 6 -14 6
18 Verona 10 1 3 6 -16 6
19 Spal 10 1 2 7 -11 5
20 Benevento 11 0 0 11 -25 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Atalanta
29′
J. Kurtič 0–1
Rafael Tolói
41′
🟨 Rafael Tolói
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. de Paul
46′
46′
🔁 R. Freuler
↦ M. de Roon
56′
🟨 Timothy Castagne
Ryder Matos 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
56′
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ S. Ingelsson
62′
2–1 A. Barák
V. Behrami
68′
71′
🔁 L. Vido
↦ A. Petagna
74′
🔁 R. Orsolini
↦ J. Iličić
S. Widmer 🔁
↦ V. Behrami
78′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Udinese

4-3-3
1 A. Bizzarri G
5 Danilo D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
53 Ali Adnan M
85 V. Behrami M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
72 A. Barák M
13 S. Ingelsson M
20 M. López F
Bench (12)
7 Ryder Matos
23 E. Hallfreðsson
27 S. Widmer
4 G. Angella
9 R. Bajić
15 K. Lasagna
18 S. Perica
22 S. Scuffet
25 D. Borsellini
55 P. Bochniewicz
97 G. Pezzella
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
3 Rafael Tolói D
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 T. Castagne M
13 M. Caldara D
72 J. Iličić F
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
4 B. Cristante M
29 A. Petagna F
Bench (11)
11 R. Freuler
20 L. Vido
7 R. Orsolini
6 J. Palomino
8 R. Gosens
23 F. Melegoni
28 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
32 N. Haas
91 P. Gollini
95 A. Bastoni

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.