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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada Fernandez

Celta

S T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Villarreal

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

73%

60%

Both score Ø 57%

73%

40%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 12. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	12	3	0	+31	39
2	Ath Madrid	16	10	6	0	+18	36
3	Valencia	16	10	4	2	+20	34
4	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+19	31
5	Sevilla	16	9	2	5	+0	29
6	Girona	16	6	5	5	-2	23
7	Villarreal	15	6	3	6	+2	21
8	Eibar	16	6	3	7	-10	21
9	Getafe	16	5	5	6	+4	20
10	Sociedad	16	5	5	6	+0	20
11	Leganes	15	6	2	7	-2	20
12	Celta	15	5	3	7	+4	18
13	Ath Bilbao	16	4	6	6	-3	18
14	Betis	15	5	3	7	-6	18
15	Levante	16	3	8	5	-7	17
16	Espanol	15	4	4	7	-8	16
17	La Coruna	15	4	3	8	-9	15
18	Alaves	16	4	0	12	-13	12
19	Malaga	15	3	2	10	-15	11
20	Las Palmas	15	3	1	11	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valencia	8	6	2	0	+15	20
2	Sevilla	8	6	2	0	+10	20
3	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
4	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+5	15
6	Betis	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Eibar	8	4	2	2	+4	14
8	Villarreal	7	4	1	2	+8	13
9	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+6	13
10	Espanol	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	Girona	9	3	2	4	-3	11
14	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	+0	10
15	La Coruna	8	3	1	4	-4	10
16	Sociedad	8	2	3	3	+0	9
17	Levante	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-3	8
19	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-7	6
20	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
2	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+13	20
3	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Valencia	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Girona	7	3	3	1	+1	12
6	Sociedad	8	3	2	3	+0	11
7	Leganes	8	3	0	5	-2	9
8	Sevilla	8	3	0	5	-10	9
9	Levante	7	1	5	1	-2	8
10	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-6	8
12	Celta	8	2	1	5	+2	7
13	Getafe	8	1	4	3	-2	7
14	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
15	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-6	6
16	La Coruna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Betis	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Las Palmas	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Malaga	8	1	0	7	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.