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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Valencia

S S S U T

2–1

Full-time

Celta

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 50%

64%

36%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

3,3

3,4

Scored

2,4

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

13 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

10 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 2. · Celta 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	11	3	0	+29	36
2	Valencia	14	9	4	1	+20	31
3	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+19	31
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	6	0	+16	30
5	Sevilla	15	9	1	5	+0	28
6	Villarreal	14	6	3	5	+4	21
7	Getafe	15	5	5	5	+5	20
8	Leganes	15	6	2	7	-2	20
9	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+2	19
10	Celta	14	5	3	6	+5	18
11	Betis	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Eibar	15	5	3	7	-11	18
13	Girona	14	4	5	5	-4	17
14	Levante	14	3	7	4	-6	16
15	Espanol	14	4	4	6	-7	16
16	La Coruna	15	4	3	8	-9	15
17	Ath Bilbao	14	3	5	6	-4	14
18	Alaves	15	4	0	11	-12	12
19	Las Palmas	15	3	1	11	-23	10
20	Malaga	14	2	2	10	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	1	0	+18	19
2	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+10	19
3	Valencia	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Real Madrid	8	5	2	1	+13	17
5	Betis	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+10	13
7	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+6	13
8	Espanol	7	4	1	2	+3	13
9	Ath Madrid	6	3	3	0	+4	12
10	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	La Coruna	8	3	1	4	-4	10
14	Sociedad	7	2	3	2	+2	9
15	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+0	9
16	Levante	8	2	3	3	-4	9
17	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-3	8
18	Girona	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Alaves	8	2	0	6	-7	6
20	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Barcelona	7	5	2	0	+11	17
3	Valencia	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+6	14
5	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
6	Girona	6	2	3	1	+0	9
7	Leganes	8	3	0	5	-2	9
8	Sevilla	8	3	0	5	-10	9
9	Villarreal	8	2	2	4	-6	8
10	Celta	7	2	1	4	+3	7
11	Getafe	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Levante	6	1	4	1	-2	7
13	Eibar	8	2	1	5	-14	7
14	Alaves	7	2	0	5	-5	6
15	Ath Bilbao	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	La Coruna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
17	Betis	7	1	1	5	-10	4
18	Las Palmas	8	1	1	6	-12	4
19	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-10	3
20	Malaga	7	0	0	7	-14	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.