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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero Lopez

Celta

T S U U T

0–1

Full-time

Villarreal

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

This season — La Liga · 25/26 matches

Win Ø 43%

40%

46%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

68%

35%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

42%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 11. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	27	18	6	3	+54	60
2	Real Madrid	25	18	5	2	+41	59
3	Sevilla	27	17	6	4	+20	57
4	Ath Madrid	27	15	7	5	+27	52
5	Sociedad	27	15	3	9	+4	48
6	Villarreal	26	12	9	5	+19	45
7	Ath Bilbao	27	13	5	9	+4	44
8	Eibar	26	11	6	9	+5	39
9	Espanol	27	10	9	8	+1	39
10	Alaves	27	9	10	8	-5	37
11	Celta	25	10	5	10	-5	35
12	Las Palmas	27	8	8	11	-2	32
13	Valencia	27	8	6	13	-11	30
14	Betis	26	7	7	12	-14	28
15	La Coruna	27	6	9	12	-11	27
16	Malaga	27	6	8	13	-12	26
17	Leganes	27	6	7	14	-19	25
18	Granada	27	4	7	16	-31	19
19	Sp Gijon	27	4	6	17	-28	18
20	Osasuna	26	1	7	18	-37	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	10	3	0	+21	33
2	Ath Bilbao	14	10	3	1	+12	33
3	Sevilla	13	10	2	1	+13	32
4	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+30	30
5	Ath Madrid	13	9	2	2	+18	29
6	Villarreal	14	8	3	3	+13	27
7	Las Palmas	14	7	5	2	+12	26
8	Eibar	14	8	2	4	+6	26
9	Celta	12	8	1	3	+6	25
10	Sociedad	14	7	3	4	+2	24
11	Espanol	14	6	5	3	+7	23
12	Malaga	13	6	2	5	+2	20
13	La Coruna	13	5	4	4	+5	19
14	Betis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
15	Valencia	13	5	3	5	-4	18
16	Granada	13	4	4	5	+0	16
17	Alaves	13	3	7	3	-6	16
18	Leganes	13	3	4	6	-5	13
19	Sp Gijon	13	3	2	8	-13	11
20	Osasuna	13	0	4	9	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	9	3	2	+24	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+20	26
3	Sevilla	14	7	4	3	+7	25
4	Sociedad	13	8	0	5	+2	24
5	Ath Madrid	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Alaves	14	6	3	5	+1	21
7	Villarreal	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Espanol	13	4	4	5	-6	16
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Valencia	14	3	3	8	-7	12
11	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-14	12
12	Ath Bilbao	13	3	2	8	-8	11
13	Celta	13	2	4	7	-11	10
14	Betis	12	3	1	8	-12	10
15	La Coruna	14	1	5	8	-16	8
16	Sp Gijon	14	1	4	9	-15	7
17	Las Palmas	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Malaga	14	0	6	8	-14	6
19	Osasuna	13	1	3	9	-20	6
20	Granada	14	0	3	11	-31	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.