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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Las Palmas
U S T U T
1–2
Full-time
Eibar
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+2,0
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
18%
41%
Points per game
0,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 38%
35%
41%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
4 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Las Palmas 20. · Eibar 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 17 14 3 0 +38 45
2 Ath Madrid 18 11 6 1 +19 39
3 Valencia 18 11 4 3 +20 37
4 Real Madrid 16 9 4 3 +16 31
5 Sevilla 17 9 2 6 -2 29
6 Villarreal 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Eibar 17 7 3 7 -7 24
8 Getafe 18 6 5 7 +4 23
9 Sociedad 17 6 5 6 +2 23
10 Girona 18 6 5 7 -6 23
11 Celta 17 6 3 8 +5 21
12 Ath Bilbao 17 5 6 6 -1 21
13 Leganes 16 6 3 7 -2 21
14 Betis 17 6 3 8 -6 21
15 Espanol 17 5 5 7 -7 20
16 Levante 17 3 9 5 -7 18
17 Alaves 17 5 0 12 -12 15
18 La Coruna 17 4 3 10 -15 15
19 Malaga 17 3 2 12 -18 11
20 Las Palmas 17 3 2 12 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Las Palmas Eibar
18′
🟨 Sergi Enrich
M. Lemos 🔁
↦ Bigas
29′
31′
🟨 Anaitz Arbilla
1–0 Jonathan Viera ⚽
32′
Dani Castellano 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
Hernán Toledo 🟨
57′
60′
🔁 Rubén Peña
↦ Ander Capa
Mauricio Lemos 🟨
63′
Tana 🔁
↦ Momo
67′
Javi Castellano 🔁
↦ Sergi Samper
71′
71′
🔁 F. Orellana
↦ Ivi
73′
⚽ F. Orellana 1–1
Charles
77′
⚽ Sergi Enrich 1–2
José Ángel
80′
🔁 G. Escalante
↦ Sergi Enrich
84′
🟨 Takashi Inui
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Las Palmas

4-2-3-1
13 L. Chichizola G
23 Dani Castellano D
22 Ximo Navarro D
17 Bigas D
2 David Simón D
11 Momo M
7 G. Peñalba M
21 Jonathan Viera M
6 Sergi Samper M
9 J. Calleri F
19 H. Toledo M
Bench (7)
3 M. Lemos
24 Tana
18 Javi Castellano
1 Raúl Lizoáin
4 Vicente Gómez
5 David García
16 Jairo Samperio

Coach: Paco Jémez

Eibar

4-4-2
25 M. Dmitrović G
18 Arbilla D
15 José Ángel D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
7 Ander Capa D
8 T. Inui M
14 Dani García M
24 Joan Jordán M
20 Ivi M
19 Charles F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
11 Rubén Peña
2 F. Orellana
5 G. Escalante
3 P. Diop
13 Asier Riesgo
17 Kike
22 Lombán

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.