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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Celta

T U U S T

2–2

Full-time

Barcelona

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Barcelona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,3

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 58%

38%

78%

Points per game

1,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

66%

56%

Both score Ø 52%

59%

44%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,6

2,5

Conceded

1,4

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

18 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

5 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celta 9. · Barcelona 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	25	7	0	+64	82
2	Ath Madrid	32	21	8	3	+39	71
3	Real Madrid	32	20	7	5	+44	67
4	Valencia	32	20	5	7	+27	65
5	Betis	32	16	4	12	+0	52
6	Villarreal	32	14	6	12	+4	48
7	Sevilla	33	14	6	13	-11	48
8	Girona	32	12	8	12	-5	44
9	Celta	32	12	7	13	+6	43
10	Getafe	32	11	9	12	+6	42
11	Sociedad	32	11	7	14	+5	40
12	Eibar	32	11	7	14	-10	40
13	Ath Bilbao	32	9	12	11	-3	39
14	Leganes	32	11	6	15	-12	39
15	Alaves	32	12	2	18	-16	38
16	Espanol	32	8	12	12	-13	36
17	Levante	32	6	13	13	-20	31
18	La Coruna	33	6	9	18	-33	27
19	Las Palmas	32	5	6	21	-42	21
20	Malaga	32	4	5	23	-30	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	14	2	0	+37	44
2	Ath Madrid	16	12	4	0	+24	40
3	Valencia	16	12	2	2	+20	38
4	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+27	33
5	Getafe	17	9	3	5	+14	30
6	Sevilla	16	8	5	3	+6	29
7	Girona	16	8	3	5	+10	27
8	Betis	16	8	3	5	+2	27
9	Leganes	16	8	3	5	+2	27
10	Celta	15	7	5	3	+9	26
11	Villarreal	15	8	2	5	+8	26
12	Espanol	16	7	5	4	+2	26
13	Eibar	17	7	4	6	+7	25
14	Alaves	16	8	1	7	-2	25
15	Sociedad	16	7	3	6	+12	24
16	Ath Bilbao	16	5	8	3	+4	23
17	Levante	16	4	6	6	-6	18
18	La Coruna	17	4	6	7	-7	18
19	Las Palmas	16	4	2	10	-17	14
20	Malaga	16	3	3	10	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	11	5	0	+27	38
2	Real Madrid	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Ath Madrid	16	9	4	3	+15	31
4	Valencia	16	8	3	5	+7	27
5	Betis	16	8	1	7	-2	25
6	Villarreal	17	6	4	7	-4	22
7	Sevilla	17	6	1	10	-17	19
8	Celta	17	5	2	10	-3	17
9	Girona	16	4	5	7	-15	17
10	Sociedad	16	4	4	8	-7	16
11	Ath Bilbao	16	4	4	8	-7	16
12	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-17	15
13	Alaves	16	4	1	11	-14	13
14	Levante	16	2	7	7	-14	13
15	Getafe	15	2	6	7	-8	12
16	Leganes	16	3	3	10	-14	12
17	Espanol	16	1	7	8	-15	10
18	La Coruna	16	2	3	11	-26	9
19	Las Palmas	16	1	4	11	-25	7
20	Malaga	16	1	2	13	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.