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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Barcelona

S S S S S

6–1

Full-time

Celta

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,7

1,0

Conceded

0,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-1,2

This season — La Liga · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 60%

77%

43%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

73%

57%

Both score Ø 56%

50%

61%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

20 Shots 10

11 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Celta 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	22	17	3	2	+39	54
2	Ath Madrid	24	17	3	4	+24	54
3	Real Madrid	24	16	5	3	+47	53
4	Villarreal	24	14	6	4	+12	48
5	Sevilla	24	11	7	6	+10	40
6	Eibar	24	10	6	8	+7	36
7	Ath Bilbao	24	10	5	9	+1	35
8	Celta	23	10	5	8	-2	35
9	La Coruna	24	6	14	4	+3	32
10	Sociedad	24	8	6	10	+0	30
11	Malaga	24	8	6	10	+0	30
12	Valencia	24	6	10	8	+3	28
13	Getafe	24	7	5	12	-10	26
14	Betis	24	6	8	10	-15	26
15	Vallecano	24	6	6	12	-17	24
16	Sp Gijon	23	6	5	12	-12	23
17	Espanol	24	6	4	14	-27	22
18	Las Palmas	24	5	6	13	-15	21
19	Granada	24	5	5	14	-24	20
20	Levante	24	4	5	15	-24	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	11	1	1	+37	34
2	Barcelona	12	11	1	0	+32	34
3	Sevilla	13	11	0	2	+16	33
4	Villarreal	13	10	2	1	+12	32
5	Ath Madrid	11	8	2	1	+9	26
6	Eibar	13	7	3	3	+9	24
7	Ath Bilbao	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Getafe	13	6	3	4	+8	21
9	Valencia	12	4	7	1	+7	19
10	Malaga	11	5	3	3	+7	18
11	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
12	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+1	18
13	Celta	12	5	3	4	+0	18
14	Vallecano	12	5	2	5	+0	17
15	La Coruna	12	3	7	2	+5	16
16	Espanol	11	4	4	3	-7	16
17	Sp Gijon	11	3	4	4	+1	13
18	Levante	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Granada	11	3	2	6	-8	11
20	Betis	11	2	4	5	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	9	1	3	+15	28
2	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+7	20
3	Real Madrid	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	Celta	11	5	2	4	-2	17
5	Villarreal	11	4	4	3	+0	16
6	La Coruna	12	3	7	2	-2	16
7	Betis	13	4	4	5	-7	16
8	Ath Bilbao	13	4	2	7	-10	14
9	Eibar	11	3	3	5	-2	12
10	Sociedad	12	3	3	6	-3	12
11	Malaga	13	3	3	7	-7	12
12	Sp Gijon	12	3	1	8	-13	10
13	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-4	9
14	Granada	13	2	3	8	-16	9
15	Sevilla	11	0	7	4	-6	7
16	Vallecano	12	1	4	7	-17	7
17	Espanol	13	2	0	11	-20	6
18	Levante	12	1	2	9	-17	5
19	Getafe	11	1	2	8	-18	5
20	Las Palmas	12	0	3	9	-16	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.