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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Barcelona

U S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Leganes

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Leganes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 55%

77%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

40%

Both score Ø 34%

40%

27%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

68% Possession 32%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

14 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Leganes 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	23	7	0	+61	76
2	Ath Madrid	30	20	7	3	+36	67
3	Real Madrid	30	19	6	5	+43	63
4	Valencia	30	19	5	6	+27	62
5	Betis	31	15	4	12	-1	49
6	Villarreal	30	14	5	11	+6	47
7	Sevilla	31	14	4	13	-11	46
8	Girona	30	12	8	10	+1	44
9	Celta	31	12	7	12	+7	43
10	Eibar	31	11	7	13	-9	40
11	Getafe	31	10	9	12	+5	39
12	Ath Bilbao	30	8	12	10	-4	36
13	Espanol	30	8	12	10	-11	36
14	Leganes	30	10	6	14	-11	36
15	Alaves	31	11	2	18	-17	35
16	Sociedad	30	9	7	14	-1	34
17	Levante	30	5	13	12	-18	28
18	La Coruna	31	5	8	18	-34	23
19	Las Palmas	30	5	6	19	-40	21
20	Malaga	31	4	5	22	-29	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	12	2	0	+34	38
2	Ath Madrid	15	11	4	0	+21	37
3	Valencia	15	11	2	2	+19	35
4	Real Madrid	15	10	2	3	+27	32
5	Sevilla	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Getafe	16	8	3	5	+13	27
7	Girona	15	8	3	4	+11	27
8	Betis	16	8	3	5	+2	27
9	Villarreal	14	8	2	4	+10	26
10	Celta	15	7	5	3	+9	26
11	Espanol	16	7	5	4	+2	26
12	Eibar	16	7	4	5	+8	25
13	Alaves	16	8	1	7	-2	25
14	Leganes	15	7	3	5	+1	24
15	Ath Bilbao	15	5	8	2	+5	23
16	Sociedad	15	6	3	6	+7	21
17	La Coruna	16	4	5	7	-7	17
18	Levante	15	3	6	6	-7	15
19	Las Palmas	15	4	2	9	-16	14
20	Malaga	15	3	3	9	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	11	5	0	+27	38
2	Real Madrid	15	9	4	2	+16	31
3	Ath Madrid	15	9	3	3	+15	30
4	Valencia	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Betis	15	7	1	7	-3	22
6	Villarreal	16	6	3	7	-4	21
7	Sevilla	16	6	0	10	-17	18
8	Celta	16	5	2	9	-2	17
9	Girona	15	4	5	6	-10	17
10	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-17	15
11	Sociedad	15	3	4	8	-8	13
12	Ath Bilbao	15	3	4	8	-9	13
13	Levante	15	2	7	6	-11	13
14	Getafe	15	2	6	7	-8	12
15	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
16	Espanol	14	1	7	6	-13	10
17	Alaves	15	3	1	11	-15	10
18	Las Palmas	15	1	4	10	-24	7
19	La Coruna	15	1	3	11	-27	6
20	Malaga	16	1	2	13	-19	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.