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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Ath Bilbao
U T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Leganes
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,3
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
26%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
30%
41%
Both score Ø 35%
44%
26%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

44% Possession 56%
13 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 15. · Leganes 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 28 22 6 0 +59 72
2 Ath Madrid 28 19 7 2 +36 64
3 Real Madrid 28 17 6 5 +37 57
4 Valencia 28 17 5 6 +24 56
5 Sevilla 28 14 3 11 -6 45
6 Villarreal 28 13 5 10 +6 44
7 Girona 28 12 7 9 +4 43
8 Eibar 28 11 6 11 -6 39
9 Celta 28 11 5 12 +3 38
10 Betis 27 11 4 12 -9 37
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 +7 36
12 Espanol 28 8 11 9 -8 35
13 Sociedad 28 9 6 13 +0 33
14 Leganes 27 9 6 12 -9 33
15 Ath Bilbao 27 7 11 9 -4 32
16 Alaves 27 10 1 16 -15 31
17 Levante 28 4 12 12 -19 24
18 Las Palmas 28 5 5 18 -37 20
19 La Coruna 28 4 7 17 -34 19
20 Malaga 28 3 4 21 -29 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Leganes
1–0 Raúl García
De Marcos
10′
12′
🟨 Nabil El Zhar
2–0 Raúl García
17′
Íñigo Córdoba 🟨
28′
36′
🟨 Joseba Zaldúa
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 D. Brašanac
↦ Gerard Gumbau
Iturraspe 🔁
↦ Susaeta
58′
58′
🔁 Omar Ramos
↦ N. El Zhar
66′
🟨 Darko Brašanac
Raúl García 🟨
68′
72′
🟨 Dimitrios Siovas
78′
🔁 José Naranjo
↦ N. Amrabat
Lekue 🔁
↦ Raúl García
82′
Sabin Merino 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
88′
89′
🟨 Unai Bustinza
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Kepa G
18 De Marcos D
3 Saborit D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
12 Unai Núñez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
6 San José M
7 Beñat M
28 Iñigo Córdoba M
11 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (7)
8 Iturraspe
15 Lekue
19 Sabin Merino
5 Yeray Álvarez
13 Iago Herrerín
20 Aduriz
21 Mikel Vesga

Coach: José Ángel Ziganda

Leganes

4-2-3-1
1 Pichu Cuéllar G
22 D. Siovas D
20 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Bustinza D
15 Diego Rico D
10 N. El Zhar M
21 Rubén Pérez M
17 Eraso M
6 Gerard Gumbau M
7 N. Amrabat M
12 C. Beauvue F
Bench (7)
24 D. Brašanac
23 Omar Ramos
18 José Naranjo
13 N. Champagne
14 Raúl García
16 M. Dos Santos
19 E. Muñoz

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.