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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

Mainz

T S S T S

1–1

Full-time

Hannover

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mainz Hannover

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

38%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

46%

69%

Both score Ø 62%

46%

77%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,9

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

28 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 3

12 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mainz 10. · Hannover 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	11	3	0	+25	36
2	Bayern Munich	14	8	3	3	+10	27
3	M'gladbach	13	8	2	3	+14	26
4	RB Leipzig	14	7	4	3	+11	25
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	7	2	5	+13	23
6	Hertha	14	6	5	3	+2	23
7	Hoffenheim	14	6	4	4	+9	22
8	Werder Bremen	14	6	3	5	+1	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Mainz	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Leverkusen	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Freiburg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Schalke 04	14	4	2	8	-5	14
14	Augsburg	14	3	4	7	-3	13
15	Stuttgart	13	3	2	8	-17	11
16	Nurnberg	14	2	5	7	-19	11
17	Hannover	13	2	3	8	-13	9
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	2	3	9	-18	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	M'gladbach	6	6	0	0	+15	18
3	RB Leipzig	7	5	2	0	+14	17
4	Hertha	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Bayern Munich	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Freiburg	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	Mainz	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Werder Bremen	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+10	10
11	Leverkusen	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	Nurnberg	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Schalke 04	7	3	0	4	-1	9
14	Wolfsburg	8	2	3	3	-3	9
15	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-2	7
16	Stuttgart	6	2	1	3	-8	7
17	Augsburg	6	1	3	2	+0	6
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	0	5	-4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+9	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	0	2	+6	15
3	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	1	3	+3	13
4	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+4	11
5	Wolfsburg	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Werder Bremen	6	3	1	2	+2	10
7	Hertha	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	M'gladbach	7	2	2	3	-1	8
9	Leverkusen	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	RB Leipzig	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Augsburg	8	2	1	5	-3	7
12	Mainz	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Schalke 04	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Freiburg	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Stuttgart	7	1	1	5	-9	4
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	0	3	4	-14	3
17	Hannover	7	0	2	5	-11	2
18	Nurnberg	7	0	2	5	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.