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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Ath Bilbao

T S U U S

2–0

Full-time

Sevilla

U U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

61%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 17. · Sevilla 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	4	2	+30	40
2	Ath Madrid	19	10	8	1	+14	38
3	Sevilla	18	9	6	3	+13	33
4	Alaves	19	9	5	5	+3	32
5	Real Madrid	18	9	3	6	+3	30
6	Getafe	19	7	7	5	+5	28
7	Betis	18	7	5	6	+0	26
8	Girona	19	5	9	5	-2	24
9	Espanol	18	7	3	8	-5	24
10	Valencia	19	4	11	4	+0	23
11	Levante	19	6	5	8	-5	23
12	Sociedad	18	6	4	8	+0	22
13	Eibar	18	5	7	6	-4	22
14	Leganes	19	5	7	7	-4	22
15	Valladolid	19	5	7	7	-4	22
16	Celta	19	5	6	8	-1	21
17	Ath Bilbao	18	3	10	5	-7	19
18	Vallecano	19	5	4	10	-12	19
19	Villarreal	19	3	8	8	-5	17
20	Huesca	19	2	5	12	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Sevilla	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Real Madrid	9	6	1	2	+8	19
5	Alaves	9	5	4	0	+5	19
6	Espanol	9	6	0	3	+0	18
7	Eibar	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Leganes	9	4	4	1	+3	16
9	Betis	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Valencia	10	2	7	1	+3	13
12	Getafe	9	4	1	4	+3	13
13	Vallecano	10	3	3	4	-5	12
14	Girona	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Ath Bilbao	9	2	5	2	-3	11
16	Levante	9	3	2	4	-6	11
17	Valladolid	9	2	2	5	-4	8
18	Villarreal	10	1	4	5	-4	7
19	Huesca	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+12	20
2	Sociedad	10	5	1	4	+3	16
3	Getafe	10	3	6	1	+2	15
4	Valladolid	10	3	5	2	+0	14
5	Sevilla	9	3	4	2	+6	13
6	Girona	9	3	4	2	+1	13
7	Alaves	10	4	1	5	-2	13
8	Levante	10	3	3	4	+1	12
9	Ath Madrid	9	2	6	1	+1	12
10	Betis	9	3	2	4	-1	11
11	Real Madrid	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Villarreal	9	2	4	3	-1	10
13	Valencia	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Ath Bilbao	9	1	5	3	-4	8
15	Celta	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Vallecano	9	2	1	6	-7	7
17	Espanol	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Leganes	10	1	3	6	-7	6
19	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-7	6
20	Huesca	10	1	1	8	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.