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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Ath Bilbao

T U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Valladolid

U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

13%

31%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

44%

31%

Both score Ø 51%

63%

38%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

8 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 5

25 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 18. · Valladolid 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	11	4	2	+29	37
2	Ath Madrid	17	9	7	1	+13	34
3	Sevilla	16	9	4	3	+13	31
4	Real Madrid	16	9	2	5	+5	29
5	Alaves	17	8	4	5	+2	28
6	Betis	17	7	5	5	+1	26
7	Getafe	17	6	7	4	+5	25
8	Girona	17	5	7	5	-2	22
9	Levante	16	6	4	6	-3	22
10	Celta	17	5	6	6	+2	21
11	Eibar	17	5	6	6	-4	21
12	Espanol	17	6	3	8	-6	21
13	Valladolid	16	5	5	6	-3	20
14	Valencia	16	3	10	3	+0	19
15	Sociedad	17	5	4	8	-2	19
16	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Villarreal	16	3	6	7	-4	15
18	Ath Bilbao	16	2	9	5	-8	15
19	Vallecano	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Huesca	16	1	5	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	7	2	0	+12	23
2	Barcelona	9	6	2	1	+18	20
3	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
4	Sevilla	8	6	1	1	+7	19
5	Alaves	8	4	4	0	+4	16
6	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Betis	9	4	3	2	+1	15
8	Espanol	8	5	0	3	-1	15
9	Celta	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Leganes	7	3	3	1	+2	12
12	Girona	9	2	4	3	-3	10
13	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	-3	10
14	Levante	8	3	1	4	-6	10
15	Valencia	8	1	6	1	+2	9
16	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Villarreal	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Sociedad	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	8	0	4	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Sociedad	9	4	1	4	+1	13
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+6	12
4	Levante	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Getafe	9	2	6	1	+1	12
6	Girona	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Alaves	9	4	0	5	-2	12
9	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Betis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Valencia	8	2	4	2	-2	10
12	Real Madrid	8	3	1	4	-5	10
13	Villarreal	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Celta	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Espanol	9	1	3	5	-5	6
16	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Ath Bilbao	8	0	5	3	-5	5
19	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-8	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.