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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Alaves

T S T U T

0–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

47%

13%

Points per game

1,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

53%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

11 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 7. · Ath Bilbao 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	4	2	+27	34
2	Sevilla	16	9	4	3	+13	31
3	Ath Madrid	16	8	7	1	+12	31
4	Real Madrid	16	9	2	5	+5	29
5	Betis	16	7	4	5	+1	25
6	Getafe	16	6	6	4	+5	24
7	Alaves	15	7	3	5	+1	24
8	Levante	16	6	4	6	-3	22
9	Celta	16	5	6	5	+4	21
10	Girona	16	5	6	5	-2	21
11	Espanol	16	6	3	7	-5	21
12	Valladolid	16	5	5	6	-3	20
13	Eibar	16	5	5	6	-4	20
14	Valencia	16	3	10	3	+0	19
15	Sociedad	16	5	4	7	-1	19
16	Leganes	16	4	6	6	-4	18
17	Villarreal	16	3	6	7	-4	15
18	Ath Bilbao	15	2	8	5	-8	14
19	Vallecano	16	2	4	10	-16	10
20	Huesca	16	1	5	10	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Sevilla	8	6	1	1	+7	19
4	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+16	17
5	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+4	15
6	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Espanol	8	5	0	3	-1	15
8	Betis	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Celta	9	3	4	2	+5	13
10	Getafe	8	4	1	3	+4	13
11	Leganes	7	3	3	1	+2	12
12	Ath Bilbao	8	2	4	2	-3	10
13	Levante	8	3	1	4	-6	10
14	Valencia	8	1	6	1	+2	9
15	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Valladolid	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sociedad	7	1	3	3	-2	6
18	Villarreal	8	1	3	4	-3	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	8	0	4	4	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+11	17
2	Sociedad	9	4	1	4	+1	13
3	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+6	12
4	Levante	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Girona	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Valladolid	8	3	3	2	+0	12
7	Getafe	8	2	5	1	+1	11
8	Ath Madrid	8	2	5	1	+1	11
9	Betis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Valencia	8	2	4	2	-2	10
11	Real Madrid	8	3	1	4	-5	10
12	Villarreal	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Alaves	8	3	0	5	-3	9
14	Celta	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Leganes	9	1	3	5	-6	6
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-8	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.