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La Liga

Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva

Ath Bilbao

S T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Sevilla

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

43%

14%

Both score Ø 29%

43%

14%

Average goals

2,6

1,7

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 9

6 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 14. · Sevilla 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	+21	21
2	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Valencia	7	4	3	0	+8	15
4	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Betis	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Leganes	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
9	Villarreal	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Levante	8	2	4	2	-2	10
11	Espanol	8	2	3	3	-4	9
12	Celta	7	2	2	3	+2	8
13	Getafe	7	2	2	3	+2	8
14	Ath Bilbao	7	2	2	3	+0	8
15	La Coruna	7	2	1	4	-7	7
16	Girona	7	1	3	3	-5	6
17	Las Palmas	7	2	0	5	-8	6
18	Eibar	7	2	0	5	-14	6
19	Alaves	7	1	0	6	-7	3
20	Malaga	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+15	12
2	Valencia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Betis	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Levante	5	2	2	1	+2	8
6	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Espanol	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	-3	6
10	Real Madrid	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Celta	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Leganes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Getafe	3	1	0	2	+2	3
17	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-5	3
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Valencia	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Getafe	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Ath Bilbao	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Betis	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Celta	3	1	0	2	+2	3
12	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-1	3
13	Las Palmas	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Eibar	4	1	0	3	-10	3
16	Girona	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Levante	3	0	2	1	-4	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-7	2
19	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.