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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Ath Madrid

S U S U U

3–0

Full-time

Alaves

S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 47%

43%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

14%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

20 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 3. · Alaves 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	8	4	2	+18	28
2	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+11	27
3	Ath Madrid	14	6	7	1	+8	25
4	Alaves	14	7	3	4	+4	24
5	Real Madrid	14	7	2	5	+3	23
6	Getafe	15	5	6	4	+4	21
7	Levante	14	6	3	5	+2	21
8	Girona	14	5	6	3	+1	21
9	Espanol	14	6	3	5	+1	21
10	Sociedad	14	5	4	5	+1	19
11	Betis	14	5	4	5	-3	19
12	Eibar	14	5	3	6	-4	18
13	Celta	14	4	5	5	+3	17
14	Valencia	14	3	8	3	+0	17
15	Valladolid	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Leganes	15	4	5	6	-4	17
17	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-3	14
18	Ath Bilbao	14	1	8	5	-9	11
19	Vallecano	14	2	4	8	-13	10
20	Huesca	14	1	4	9	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	5	2	1	+16	17
2	Ath Madrid	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Sevilla	7	5	1	1	+5	16
5	Espanol	6	5	0	1	+5	15
6	Alaves	7	4	3	0	+4	15
7	Eibar	7	4	1	2	+3	13
8	Celta	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Leganes	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Betis	7	3	2	2	-1	11
11	Getafe	7	3	1	3	+3	10
12	Levante	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Girona	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Valencia	7	1	5	1	+2	8
15	Valladolid	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-4	7
17	Sociedad	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Villarreal	7	1	3	3	-2	6
19	Vallecano	8	1	3	4	-8	6
20	Huesca	6	0	3	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+2	13
2	Girona	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Sevilla	7	3	2	2	+6	11
4	Levante	7	3	2	2	+3	11
5	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+2	11
6	Getafe	8	2	5	1	+1	11
7	Alaves	7	3	0	4	+0	9
8	Valladolid	7	2	3	2	-1	9
9	Valencia	7	2	3	2	-2	9
10	Ath Madrid	7	1	5	1	+0	8
11	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
12	Betis	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Real Madrid	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-4	6
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Leganes	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Ath Bilbao	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Huesca	8	1	1	6	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.