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Pro League

Referee: Lawrence Visser

St Truiden

S U T U U

2–3

Full-time

Genk

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Pro League · 21/14 matches

Win Ø 51%

38%

64%

Points per game

1,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

48%

57%

Both score Ø 62%

67%

57%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

5 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 8

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

19 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 1. · Genk 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	21	8	9	4	+8	33
2	Genk	14	9	4	1	+20	31
3	Antwerp	14	10	1	3	+10	31
4	Charleroi	21	9	3	9	+3	30
5	Gent	14	9	2	3	+15	29
6	Standard	15	8	5	2	+14	29
7	Kortrijk	21	7	7	7	-2	28
8	Club Brugge	14	8	3	3	+16	27
9	Anderlecht	15	8	3	4	+10	27
10	Cercle Brugge	21	7	4	10	-15	25
11	Eupen	21	8	1	12	-16	25
12	Oostende	21	6	5	10	-16	23
13	Beveren	21	4	8	9	-7	20
14	Waregem	21	5	5	11	-13	20
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	21	4	5	12	-11	17
16	Lokeren	21	3	5	13	-16	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	11	7	0	4	+5	21
2	St Truiden	10	5	5	0	+8	20
3	Gent	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Cercle Brugge	11	6	1	4	-2	19
5	Genk	8	5	2	1	+9	17
6	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+13	16
7	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
8	Anderlecht	7	4	3	0	+10	15
9	Waregem	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Eupen	11	5	0	6	-5	15
11	Standard	6	4	2	0	+9	14
12	Oostende	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-3	12
15	Lokeren	11	3	3	5	-7	12
16	Beveren	10	2	5	3	-1	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	11	4	4	3	+1	16
2	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
3	Antwerp	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Genk	6	4	2	0	+11	14
5	St Truiden	11	3	4	4	+0	13
6	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
7	Club Brugge	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Gent	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Eupen	10	3	1	6	-11	10
10	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-2	9
11	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-6	9
12	Oostende	11	2	3	6	-12	9
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-13	6
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	1	2	8	-10	5
15	Waregem	11	1	2	8	-17	5
16	Lokeren	10	0	2	8	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.