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La Liga

Referee: David Medie Jimenez

Valencia

S U U U U

2–0

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

24%

28%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

28%

36%

Both score Ø 54%

52%

56%

Average goals

1,8

2,1

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 4

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 10. · Ath Bilbao 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	26	18	6	2	+41	60
2	Ath Madrid	26	15	8	3	+21	53
3	Real Madrid	26	15	3	8	+12	48
4	Getafe	26	11	9	6	+11	42
5	Alaves	26	11	7	8	-2	40
6	Sevilla	26	10	7	9	+7	37
7	Betis	26	10	6	10	-2	36
8	Sociedad	26	9	8	9	+3	35
9	Eibar	26	8	10	8	-1	34
10	Valencia	25	6	15	4	+4	33
11	Ath Bilbao	25	7	12	6	-3	33
12	Espanol	26	9	6	11	-8	33
13	Girona	26	7	10	9	-7	31
14	Leganes	25	7	9	9	-5	30
15	Levante	25	8	6	11	-8	30
16	Valladolid	26	6	8	12	-14	26
17	Celta	26	6	7	13	-8	25
18	Villarreal	26	4	11	11	-8	23
19	Vallecano	26	6	5	15	-17	23
20	Huesca	26	5	7	14	-16	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+24	30
3	Eibar	14	7	5	2	+10	26
4	Real Madrid	13	8	1	4	+11	25
5	Espanol	13	8	1	4	+1	25
6	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+10	24
7	Alaves	12	6	5	1	+6	23
8	Getafe	12	7	1	4	+10	22
9	Betis	14	6	4	4	+1	22
10	Leganes	12	5	6	1	+6	21
11	Ath Bilbao	13	5	6	2	+1	21
12	Valencia	13	3	9	1	+6	18
13	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
14	Sociedad	13	4	4	5	+0	16
15	Levante	12	4	3	5	-5	15
16	Huesca	13	3	4	6	-3	13
17	Vallecano	14	3	4	7	-9	13
18	Villarreal	14	2	6	6	-2	12
19	Valladolid	12	3	3	6	-5	12
20	Girona	13	2	6	5	-7	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+17	30
2	Real Madrid	13	7	2	4	+1	23
3	Ath Madrid	13	5	6	2	+6	21
4	Getafe	14	4	8	2	+1	20
5	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
6	Girona	13	5	4	4	+0	19
7	Alaves	14	5	2	7	-8	17
8	Valencia	12	3	6	3	-2	15
9	Levante	13	4	3	6	-3	15
10	Betis	12	4	2	6	-3	14
11	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-9	14
12	Sevilla	14	3	4	7	-3	13
13	Ath Bilbao	12	2	6	4	-4	12
14	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vallecano	12	3	1	8	-8	10
16	Celta	13	2	3	8	-9	9
17	Leganes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Huesca	13	2	3	8	-13	9
19	Espanol	13	1	5	7	-9	8
20	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-11	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.