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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Ath Bilbao

U S S S T

3–2

Full-time

Vallecano

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

23%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

35%

58%

Both score Ø 58%

55%

61%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Vallecano 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	22	8	2	+50	74
2	Ath Madrid	32	19	8	5	+26	65
3	Real Madrid	31	19	3	9	+18	60
4	Sevilla	32	15	7	10	+15	52
5	Getafe	32	13	12	7	+11	51
6	Valencia	31	10	16	5	+7	46
7	Alaves	32	12	9	11	-7	45
8	Ath Bilbao	31	10	13	8	-2	43
9	Betis	32	12	7	13	-5	43
10	Espanol	32	11	8	13	-9	41
11	Sociedad	31	10	10	11	-1	40
12	Leganes	31	10	10	11	-4	40
13	Eibar	31	9	12	10	-2	39
14	Girona	31	8	10	13	-10	34
15	Levante	31	8	9	14	-12	33
16	Celta	32	8	8	16	-10	32
17	Valladolid	32	7	10	15	-19	31
18	Villarreal	31	6	12	13	-6	30
19	Vallecano	31	7	6	18	-20	27
20	Huesca	32	5	10	17	-20	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	13	2	1	+20	41
2	Barcelona	16	12	3	1	+30	39
3	Real Madrid	16	11	1	4	+15	34
4	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Eibar	16	8	5	3	+10	29
6	Espanol	16	9	2	5	+1	29
7	Getafe	15	9	1	5	+10	28
8	Ath Bilbao	16	7	7	2	+4	28
9	Leganes	15	7	6	2	+6	27
10	Valencia	16	5	10	1	+9	25
11	Alaves	15	6	7	2	+2	25
12	Betis	16	7	4	5	-1	25
13	Celta	16	6	4	6	+3	22
14	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+1	20
15	Vallecano	16	4	5	7	-7	17
16	Levante	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
18	Huesca	16	3	6	7	-5	15
19	Valladolid	16	3	5	8	-10	14
20	Girona	16	2	6	8	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	5	1	+20	35
2	Real Madrid	15	8	2	5	+3	26
3	Ath Madrid	16	6	6	4	+6	24
4	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
5	Girona	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Valencia	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Sociedad	16	5	5	6	-2	20
8	Alaves	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Sevilla	16	5	4	7	+0	19
10	Betis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
11	Valladolid	16	4	5	7	-9	17
12	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Ath Bilbao	15	3	6	6	-6	15
14	Villarreal	15	3	5	7	-6	14
15	Leganes	16	3	4	9	-10	13
16	Espanol	16	2	6	8	-10	12
17	Eibar	15	1	7	7	-12	10
18	Celta	16	2	4	10	-13	10
19	Vallecano	15	3	1	11	-13	10
20	Huesca	16	2	4	10	-15	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.