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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Barcelona

S S U S U

2–1

Full-time

Sociedad

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Sociedad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

69%

31%

Points per game

2,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

59%

50%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,5

2,4

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

6 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Sociedad 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	32	22	8	2	+50	74
2	Ath Madrid	33	20	8	5	+27	68
3	Real Madrid	32	19	4	9	+18	61
4	Sevilla	32	15	7	10	+15	52
5	Getafe	32	13	12	7	+11	51
6	Valencia	32	11	16	5	+9	49
7	Ath Bilbao	32	11	13	8	-1	46
8	Alaves	33	12	10	11	-7	46
9	Betis	32	12	7	13	-5	43
10	Sociedad	32	10	11	11	-1	41
11	Leganes	32	10	11	11	-4	41
12	Espanol	32	11	8	13	-9	41
13	Eibar	33	9	13	11	-3	40
14	Celta	33	9	8	16	-9	35
15	Girona	33	8	10	15	-12	34
16	Villarreal	32	7	12	13	-5	33
17	Levante	32	8	9	15	-14	33
18	Valladolid	33	7	11	15	-19	32
19	Vallecano	33	7	7	19	-21	28
20	Huesca	33	5	11	17	-20	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	16	13	2	1	+20	41
2	Barcelona	16	12	3	1	+30	39
3	Real Madrid	16	11	1	4	+15	34
4	Sevilla	16	10	3	3	+15	33
5	Ath Bilbao	17	8	7	2	+5	31
6	Eibar	17	8	5	4	+9	29
7	Espanol	16	9	2	5	+1	29
8	Valencia	17	6	10	1	+11	28
9	Getafe	15	9	1	5	+10	28
10	Leganes	16	7	7	2	+6	28
11	Alaves	16	6	8	2	+2	26
12	Celta	17	7	4	6	+4	25
13	Betis	16	7	4	5	-1	25
14	Sociedad	16	5	6	5	+1	21
15	Vallecano	17	4	6	7	-7	18
16	Levante	15	4	5	6	-7	17
17	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
18	Huesca	16	3	6	7	-5	15
19	Valladolid	16	3	5	8	-10	14
20	Girona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	5	1	+20	35
2	Ath Madrid	17	7	6	4	+7	27
3	Real Madrid	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Getafe	17	4	11	2	+1	23
5	Girona	16	6	4	6	-1	22
6	Valencia	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Sociedad	16	5	5	6	-2	20
8	Alaves	17	6	2	9	-9	20
9	Sevilla	16	5	4	7	+0	19
10	Betis	16	5	3	8	-4	18
11	Valladolid	17	4	6	7	-9	18
12	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-5	17
13	Levante	17	4	4	9	-7	16
14	Ath Bilbao	15	3	6	6	-6	15
15	Leganes	16	3	4	9	-10	13
16	Espanol	16	2	6	8	-10	12
17	Eibar	16	1	8	7	-12	11
18	Huesca	17	2	5	10	-15	11
19	Celta	16	2	4	10	-13	10
20	Vallecano	16	3	1	12	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.