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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Sampdoria

T U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Inter

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 75%

70%

80%

Average goals

2,7

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 16. · Inter 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	0	2	+15	27
2	Roma	11	7	2	2	+14	23
3	Milan	11	7	1	3	+3	22
4	Lazio	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Napoli	11	6	2	3	+8	20
6	Atalanta	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+3	16
8	Torino	10	4	3	3	+7	15
9	Genoa	10	4	3	3	+2	15
10	Chievo	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Inter	10	4	2	4	+0	14
12	Udinese	10	4	1	5	-3	13
13	Bologna	11	3	4	4	-4	13
14	Sassuolo	11	4	1	6	-5	13
15	Cagliari	10	4	1	5	-6	13
16	Sampdoria	10	3	2	5	-5	11
17	Pescara	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Empoli	11	1	4	6	-11	7
19	Palermo	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Roma	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	15
4	Lazio	6	4	1	1	+8	13
5	Napoli	5	4	0	1	+6	12
6	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+4	12
7	Torino	5	3	2	0	+7	11
8	Cagliari	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Bologna	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Genoa	5	2	3	0	+5	9
11	Fiorentina	5	2	3	0	+2	9
12	Sassuolo	5	3	0	2	-1	9
13	Inter	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Chievo	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Sampdoria	4	2	1	1	+1	7
16	Udinese	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Empoli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Crotone	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Pescara	6	0	3	3	-4	3
20	Palermo	5	0	0	5	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Lazio	5	2	2	1	+2	8
3	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
4	Roma	6	2	2	2	+1	8
5	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
8	Chievo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Inter	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Palermo	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Udinese	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Genoa	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Torino	5	1	1	3	+0	4
14	Pescara	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Sassuolo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Bologna	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Cagliari	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Empoli	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Crotone	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.