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Serie A

Referee: Davide Massa

Sassuolo

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Crotone

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

2,0

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,7

This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

1,3

0,1

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

57%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%

22 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 7

15 Corners 1

1 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 14. · Crotone 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Roma	8	5	1	2	+9	16
3	Napoli	8	4	2	2	+6	14
4	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Chievo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Milan	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Torino	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	Genoa	6	3	2	1	+3	11
9	Inter	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Cagliari	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Bologna	7	3	1	3	-3	10
13	Fiorentina	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	Sassuolo	7	3	0	4	-3	9
15	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Pescara	8	1	4	3	-3	7
17	Udinese	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Torino	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Cagliari	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Milan	4	3	0	1	+3	9
7	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
8	Fiorentina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Genoa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Inter	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Pescara	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Palermo	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Palermo	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Inter	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Chievo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Roma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Milan	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Atalanta	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	-3	4
13	Sassuolo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Udinese	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Fiorentina	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Torino	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Cagliari	3	0	0	3	-7	0
20	Crotone	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.