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Serie A
Referee: Davide Ghersini
Torino
T U S T U
2–2
Full-time
Udinese
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 34%
34%
34%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
69%
59%
Both score Ø 66%
76%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
1,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
22 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 10. · Udinese 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 29 24 1 4 +40 73
2 Roma 30 22 2 6 +40 68
3 Napoli 29 19 6 4 +36 63
4 Lazio 30 18 6 6 +21 60
5 Inter 29 17 4 8 +24 55
6 Atalanta 29 17 4 8 +13 55
7 Milan 29 16 5 8 +10 53
8 Fiorentina 29 13 9 7 +9 48
9 Sampdoria 29 11 8 10 +1 41
10 Torino 29 10 10 9 +6 40
11 Chievo 29 11 5 13 -7 38
12 Udinese 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Bologna 29 9 7 13 -13 34
14 Cagliari 29 9 5 15 -22 32
15 Sassuolo 30 9 4 17 -11 31
16 Genoa 29 7 8 14 -13 29
17 Empoli 30 5 7 18 -31 22
18 Palermo 29 3 6 20 -36 15
19 Crotone 29 3 5 21 -28 14
20 Pescara 29 2 6 21 -37 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Udinese
Luca Rossettini 🟨
5′
9′
🟨 Sven Kums
J. Iturbe 🔁
↦ Iago Falqué
14′
Half-time 0–1
49′
J. Jankto 0–1
54′
🟨 Gabriele Angella
L. Boyé 🔁
↦ S. Lukić
56′
61′
🔁 T. Heurtaux
↦ R. de Paul
68′
S. Perica 0–2
D. Zapata
1–2 E. Moretti
70′
M. López 🔁
↦ D. Baselli
71′
77′
🔁 Ali Adnan
↦ S. Kums
2–2 A. Belotti
D. Zappacosta
83′
85′
🔁 Ryder Matos
↦ S. Perica
90′
🟨 Jakub Jankto
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Torino

4-3-3
21 J. Hart G
24 E. Moretti D
3 C. Molinaro D
13 L. Rossettini D
7 D. Zappacosta M
6 A. Acquah M
8 D. Baselli M
25 S. Lukić M
10 A. Ljajić M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
Bench (12)
19 J. Iturbe
31 L. Boyé
11 M. López
1 D. Padelli
4 Leandro Castán
15 M. Benassi
16 Samuel Gustafson
18 M. Valdifiori
23 A. Barreca
29 L. De Silvestri
90 T. Cucchietti
93 Arlind Ajeti

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Udinese

4-4-2
22 S. Scuffet G
5 Danilo D
4 G. Angella D
3 Samir D
26 S. Kums M
8 E. Agyemang-Badu M
27 S. Widmer M
10 R. de Paul M
14 J. Jankto M
9 D. Zapata F
18 S. Perica F
Bench (9)
75 T. Heurtaux
53 Ali Adnan
19 Ryder Matos
25 S. Perisan
34 Gabriel Silva
61 D. Borsellini
95 Lucas Evangelista
96 Ewandro
99 A. Balić

Coach: L. Delneri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.