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Serie A

Referee: Daniele Doveri

Fiorentina

T U U S S

1–0

Full-time

Bologna

T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

45%

31%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

62%

34%

Both score Ø 50%

55%

45%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

11 Corners 1

7 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Bologna 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	29	24	1	4	+40	73
2	Roma	30	22	2	6	+40	68
3	Napoli	29	19	6	4	+36	63
4	Lazio	30	18	6	6	+21	60
5	Inter	29	17	4	8	+24	55
6	Atalanta	29	17	4	8	+13	55
7	Milan	29	16	5	8	+10	53
8	Fiorentina	29	13	9	7	+9	48
9	Torino	30	10	11	9	+6	41
10	Sampdoria	29	11	8	10	+1	41
11	Chievo	29	11	5	13	-7	38
12	Udinese	30	10	7	13	-2	37
13	Bologna	29	9	7	13	-13	34
14	Cagliari	29	9	5	15	-22	32
15	Sassuolo	30	9	4	17	-11	31
16	Genoa	29	7	8	14	-13	29
17	Empoli	30	5	7	18	-31	22
18	Palermo	29	3	6	20	-36	15
19	Crotone	29	3	5	21	-28	14
20	Pescara	29	2	6	21	-37	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	15	0	0	+30	45
2	Roma	15	14	0	1	+31	42
3	Napoli	15	10	3	2	+17	33
4	Inter	14	10	2	2	+22	32
5	Lazio	15	10	2	3	+14	32
6	Milan	15	10	2	3	+9	32
7	Atalanta	14	10	1	3	+11	31
8	Torino	15	8	6	1	+15	30
9	Fiorentina	14	7	7	0	+9	28
10	Sampdoria	15	8	4	3	+8	28
11	Cagliari	14	7	3	4	-2	24
12	Chievo	15	6	4	5	+0	22
13	Udinese	15	6	3	6	+3	21
14	Bologna	15	6	2	7	-3	20
15	Genoa	14	4	6	4	+4	18
16	Sassuolo	15	5	1	9	-6	16
17	Empoli	15	4	3	8	-12	15
18	Crotone	15	3	3	9	-8	12
19	Pescara	14	1	4	9	-15	7
20	Palermo	14	1	2	11	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	14	9	3	2	+19	30
2	Juventus	14	9	1	4	+10	28
3	Lazio	15	8	4	3	+7	28
4	Roma	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Atalanta	15	7	3	5	+2	24
6	Inter	15	7	2	6	+2	23
7	Milan	14	6	3	5	+1	21
8	Fiorentina	15	6	2	7	+0	20
9	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-5	16
10	Chievo	14	5	1	8	-7	16
11	Sassuolo	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Bologna	14	3	5	6	-10	14
13	Sampdoria	14	3	4	7	-7	13
14	Torino	15	2	5	8	-9	11
15	Genoa	15	3	2	10	-17	11
16	Palermo	15	2	4	9	-17	10
17	Cagliari	15	2	2	11	-20	8
18	Empoli	15	1	4	10	-19	7
19	Pescara	15	1	2	12	-22	5
20	Crotone	14	0	2	12	-20	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.